ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
13.09.2026 19:00
Estadio 23 de Agosto
Gimnasia Jujuy
Match Timeline
Atletico DE Rafaela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
M. Cachi
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
25'
H. Soria
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
33'
N. Ramos
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
36'
N. Dematei
Gimnasia Jujuy
39'
F. Camargo · Assist: F. Molina
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
42'
N. Cainelli ↔ L. Flores
Atletico DE Rafaela
50'
F. Molina · Assist: F. Camargo
Gimnasia Jujuy
56'
N. Ramos · Assist: M. Fernandez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
63'
J. Cavallaro ↔ J. Bonifacio
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
67'
H. Soria ↔ F. Paradela
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
67'
O. Bianchi ↔ J. Franzoni
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
67'
F. Camargo ↔ D. Minervino
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
74'
L. Albertengo ↔ A. Rodriguez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
74'
M. Fernandez ↔ T. Rojas
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
76'
N. Dematei
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟥
76'
N. Dematei
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
81'
F. Molina ↔ J. Varela
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
89'
D. Gallardo ↔ M. Casa
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
90+9'
G. Cosaro
Gimnasia Jujuy

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds 1.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.4%
1.74
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.20
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia Jujuy Win 71.4%
Draw 7%
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia Jujuy1.26
Atletico DE Rafaela0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
WWDLW
46 GF / 38 GA
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWL
20 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
0.69
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
19
BTTS Yes
8
17
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 30 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 29 matches
Gimnasia Jujuy Statistic Atletico DE Rafaela
14 Wins 10
9 Draws 9
7 Losses 10
46 Goals For 20
38 Goals Against 25
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
19 BTTS Yes 8
26 Over 1.5 13
17 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 15
6 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Gimnasia Jujuy's more proactive style and Atletico DE Rafaela's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico DE Rafaela. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico DE Rafaela having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 46 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 40:33 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Atletico DE Rafaela have collected 39 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 20:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia Jujuy won 2 times, Atletico DE Rafaela won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:12 from Gimnasia Jujuy's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia Jujuy - / Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gimnasia Jujuy wins 2, draws 1, Atletico DE Rafaela wins 6

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
11 28 8 12 8 27:26 1 36
L D W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 28 8 9 11 25:31 -6 33
W D L W W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation