Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
75.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gillingham
46 matches
Shrewsbury
48 matches
| Gillingham | Statistic | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 15 |
| 15 | Draws | 10 |
| 19 | Losses | 23 |
| 53 | Goals For | 48 |
| 73 | Goals Against | 76 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 4.09 | Shots On Goal | 3.27 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 11.6 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 3.85 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gillingham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shrewsbury. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gillingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shrewsbury in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shrewsbury having the stronger overall control.
Gillingham sit 18 with 50 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 14 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 52:72 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dack (7 goals), A. Little (5 goals), R. Hale (5 goals), with creative support from Max Clark (6 assists), R. Hutton (3 assists), A. Little (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Shrewsbury approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 49 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 42:68 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on George Lloyd (4 goals), Luca Hoole (4 goals), William Boyle (4 goals), with creative support from Sam Clucas (5 assists), William Boyle (3 assists), Anthony Scully (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham won 3 times, Shrewsbury won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Gillingham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Gillingham
2
5
2
6
2
4
Lineups
Gillingham
Barnet
Gillingham
Grimsby
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Gillingham
Salford City
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Walsall
Gillingham
Crawley Town
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Cambridge United
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Barrow
Gillingham
Oldham
Gillingham
Chesterfield
Gillingham
Crewe
Gillingham
Tranmere
Gillingham
Notts County
Gillingham
Bromley
Gillingham
Harrogate Town
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
Shrewsbury
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Shrewsbury
Bromley
Shrewsbury
Tranmere
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Crewe
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury
Walsall
Shrewsbury
Salford City
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
Notts County
Shrewsbury
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury
Barrow
Shrewsbury
Colchester
Shrewsbury
Barnet
Shrewsbury
Cambridge United
Shrewsbury
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
Grimsby
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Oldham
Gillingham
Tranmere
Gillingham
Bromley
Gillingham
Newport County
Gillingham
Colchester
Gillingham
Cambridge United
Gillingham
Barrow
Gillingham
Barnet
Gillingham
Crawley Town
Gillingham
Salford City
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Gillingham
Harrogate Town
Gillingham
Notts County
Gillingham
Crewe
Shrewsbury
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
Bromley
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury
Salford City
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
Colchester
Shrewsbury
Cambridge United
Shrewsbury
Milton Keynes Dons
Shrewsbury
Wolves
Shrewsbury
Grimsby
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Walsall
Shrewsbury
Sutton Utd
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
Shrewsbury
Crewe
Shrewsbury
South Shields
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Shrewsbury
Barrow
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gillingham
Home
|
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 |
Shrewsbury
Away
|
46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|