ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Priestfield Stadium
Referee: D. Rock
Gillingham
Match Timeline
Shrewsbury
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Taylor Perry
Shrewsbury
🔄
36'
S. Gale ↔ J. Williams
Gillingham
🟨
37'
Ronan Hale
Gillingham
🟨
57'
Will Gray
Shrewsbury
🔄
65'
B. Dack ↔ G. McCleary
Gillingham
🔄
71'
I. Lee ↔ L. Hoole
Shrewsbury
🔄
71'
W. Gray ↔ I. England
Shrewsbury
🔄
71'
G. Lloyd ↔ B. Ihionvien
Shrewsbury
🔄
72'
J. Marquis ↔ T. McDermott
Shrewsbury
🔄
74'
S. Vokes ↔ S. Palmer-Houlden
Gillingham
🔄
87'
I. Morgan ↔ H. Aiston
Shrewsbury
90'
G. McCleary
Gillingham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
75.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gillingham Win 24.1%
Draw 42.2%
Shrewsbury Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gillingham1.32
Shrewsbury1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gillingham Gillingham
WWDLW
53 GF / 73 GA
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
WLDWL
48 GF / 76 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
26
BTTS Yes
23
21
Over 2.5
24
4.09
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gillingham Gillingham 46 matches
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 48 matches
Gillingham Statistic Shrewsbury
12 Wins 15
15 Draws 10
19 Losses 23
53 Goals For 48
73 Goals Against 76
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
26 BTTS Yes 23
33 Over 1.5 32
21 Over 2.5 24
14 Over 3.5 16
10 Clean Sheets 13
12 Failed To Score 17
4.09 Shots On Goal 3.27
12.67 Total Shots 11.6
5.13 Corners 3.85
46.9% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gillingham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shrewsbury. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gillingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shrewsbury in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shrewsbury having the stronger overall control.

Gillingham Analysis

Gillingham sit 18 with 50 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 14 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 52:72 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dack (7 goals), A. Little (5 goals), R. Hale (5 goals), with creative support from Max Clark (6 assists), R. Hutton (3 assists), A. Little (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shrewsbury Analysis

Shrewsbury approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 49 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 42:68 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on George Lloyd (4 goals), Luca Hoole (4 goals), William Boyle (4 goals), with creative support from Sam Clucas (5 assists), William Boyle (3 assists), Anthony Scully (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham won 3 times, Shrewsbury won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Gillingham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75.9%)
Predicted formations: Gillingham 4-2-3-1 / Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Gillingham wins 3, draws 8, Shrewsbury wins 4
Stats
Gillingham Gillingham
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 14
4 Offsides 4
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 4
1 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
306 Total passes 303
197 Passes accurate 221
0.31 expected_goals 1.82
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gillingham
Formation
Shrewsbury
G. Morris
G. Morris
S. Gale
S. Gale
C. Masterson
C. Masterson
A. Smith
A. Smith
R. Hutton
R. Hutton
R. McKenzie
R. McKenzie
A. Little
A. Little
M. Clark
M. Clark
B. Dack
B. Dack
R. Hale
R. Hale
S. Vokes
S. Vokes
W. Brook
W. Brook
I. Lee
I. Lee
W. Boyle
W. Boyle
J. Ruffels
J. Ruffels
T. Sang
T. Sang
W. Gray
W. Gray
T. Perry
T. Perry
K. Berkoe
K. Berkoe
I. Morgan
I. Morgan
G. Lloyd
G. Lloyd
J. Marquis
J. Marquis
Gillingham 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Morris
G
30
S. Gale
↓ 36'
D
4
C. Masterson
D
5
A. Smith
D
2
R. Hutton
M
14
R. McKenzie
M
8
A. Little
M
3
M. Clark
M
23
B. Dack
↓ 65'
F
38
R. Hale
🟨 37'
F
19
S. Vokes
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Turner
G
10
J. Williams
↑ 36'
M
27
N. Khumbeni
M
15
T. Akomeah
D
7
G. McCleary
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
F
12
S. Palmer-Houlden
↑ 74'
F
37
S. Booth
F
Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
12
W. Brook
G
23
I. Lee
↓ 71'
D
5
W. Boyle
D
25
J. Ruffels
D
10
T. Sang
M
43
W. Gray
↓ 71' 🟨 57'
M
14
T. Perry
🟨 31'
M
30
K. Berkoe
M
19
I. Morgan
↓ 87'
F
9
G. Lloyd
↓ 71'
F
27
J. Marquis
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Cox
G
26
S. Stubbs
D
2
L. Hoole
↑ 71'
D
7
T. McDermott
↑ 72'
M
38
I. England
↑ 71'
D
48
B. Ihionvien
↑ 71'
F
46
H. Aiston
↑ 87'
F
Last matches: Gillingham
25.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Barnet
2
6
L
18.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Grimsby
1
4
L
14.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Cheltenham
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Salford City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Accrington ST
2
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Walsall
2
2
D
28.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Crawley Town
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Swindon Town
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Cambridge United
0
5
L
10.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
5
L
07.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Barrow
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Oldham
0
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Chesterfield
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Crewe
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Tranmere
2
1
W
03.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Notts County
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Gillingham
Bromley
1
4
L
24.01.26
Lea
Gillingham
Harrogate Town
3
0
W
Last matches: Shrewsbury
25.04.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
18.04.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Crawley Town
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Oldham
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Bromley
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Tranmere
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Newport County
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Crewe
0
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Chesterfield
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Walsall
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Salford City
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
2
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Notts County
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Swindon Town
3
1
W
10.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Barrow
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Colchester
0
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Barnet
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Cambridge United
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Milton Keynes Dons
1
5
L
H2H: Gillingham vs Shrewsbury
02.05.26
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
3
3
D
25.01.22
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
28.08.21
H2H
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
2
1
L
10.04.21
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
03.10.20
H2H
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
1
1
D
29.01.20
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
22.10.19
H2H
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
1
1
D
13.04.19
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
2
L
29.09.18
H2H
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
2
2
D
20.02.18
H2H
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
1
1
D
02.09.17
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
2
L
28.01.17
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
1
D
27.08.16
H2H
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
2
3
W
23.04.16
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
2
3
L
Last matches: Gillingham
18.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Grimsby
1
4
L
06.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Accrington ST
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Swindon Town
0
2
L
10.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
5
L
07.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Oldham
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Gillingham
Tranmere
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Gillingham
Bromley
1
4
L
17.01.26
Lea
Gillingham
Newport County
3
2
W
29.12.25
Lea
Gillingham
Colchester
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Gillingham
Cambridge United
1
1
D
13.12.25
Lea
Gillingham
Barrow
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Gillingham
Barnet
1
1
D
15.11.25
Lea
Gillingham
Crawley Town
2
2
D
25.10.25
Lea
Gillingham
Salford City
1
2
L
11.10.25
Lea
Gillingham
Cheltenham
1
1
D
27.09.25
Lea
Gillingham
Harrogate Town
0
1
L
13.09.25
Lea
Gillingham
Notts County
1
0
W
23.08.25
Lea
Gillingham
Crewe
1
0
W
H2H at home: Gillingham
02.05.26
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
25.01.22
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
10.04.21
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
29.01.20
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
13.04.19
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
2
L
02.09.17
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
2
L
28.01.17
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
1
D
23.04.16
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
2
3
L
Last matches: Shrewsbury
18.04.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Crawley Town
0
0
D
07.04.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Bromley
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Newport County
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Chesterfield
3
2
W
24.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Salford City
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Colchester
0
2
L
27.01.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Cambridge United
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Shrewsbury
Milton Keynes Dons
1
5
L
10.01.26
FA
Shrewsbury
Wolves
1
6
L
29.12.25
Lea
Shrewsbury
Grimsby
0
1
L
26.12.25
Lea
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
1
3
L
13.12.25
Lea
Shrewsbury
Walsall
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Shrewsbury
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
22.11.25
Lea
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
1
3
L
08.11.25
Lea
Shrewsbury
Crewe
1
3
L
02.11.25
FA
Shrewsbury
South Shields
3
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Shrewsbury
Oldham
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lea
Shrewsbury
Barrow
0
0
D
H2H away: Shrewsbury
02.05.26
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
0
L
25.01.22
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
10.04.21
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
29.01.20
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
2
0
L
13.04.19
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
0
2
W
02.09.17
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
2
W
28.01.17
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
1
1
D
23.04.16
H2H
Gillingham
Shrewsbury
2
3
W

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation