ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
02.05.2026 14:00
Priestfield Stadium
Referee: D. Rock
Gillingham
Match Timeline
Shrewsbury
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Taylor Perry
Shrewsbury
🔄
36'
S. Gale ↔ J. Williams
Gillingham
🟨
37'
Ronan Hale
Gillingham
🟨
57'
Will Gray
Shrewsbury
🔄
65'
B. Dack ↔ G. McCleary
Gillingham
🔄
71'
I. Lee ↔ L. Hoole
Shrewsbury
🔄
71'
W. Gray ↔ I. England
Shrewsbury
🔄
71'
G. Lloyd ↔ B. Ihionvien
Shrewsbury
🔄
72'
J. Marquis ↔ T. McDermott
Shrewsbury
🔄
74'
S. Vokes ↔ S. Palmer-Houlden
Gillingham
🔄
87'
I. Morgan ↔ H. Aiston
Shrewsbury
⚽
90'
G. McCleary
Gillingham

Gillingham vs Shrewsbury Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
75.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gillingham Win 24.1%
Draw 42.2%
Shrewsbury Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gillingham1.32
Shrewsbury1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gillingham Gillingham
WWDLW
53 GF / 73 GA
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
WLDWL
48 GF / 76 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
26
BTTS Yes
23
21
Over 2.5
24
4.09
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gillingham Gillingham 46 matches
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 48 matches
Gillingham Statistic Shrewsbury
12 Wins 15
15 Draws 10
19 Losses 23
53 Goals For 48
73 Goals Against 76
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
26 BTTS Yes 23
33 Over 1.5 32
21 Over 2.5 24
14 Over 3.5 16
10 Clean Sheets 13
12 Failed To Score 17
4.09 Shots On Goal 3.27
12.67 Total Shots 11.6
5.13 Corners 3.85
46.9% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gillingham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shrewsbury. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gillingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shrewsbury in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shrewsbury having the stronger overall control.

Gillingham Analysis

Gillingham sit 18 with 50 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 14 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 52:72 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dack (7 goals), A. Little (5 goals), R. Hale (5 goals), with creative support from Max Clark (6 assists), R. Hutton (3 assists), A. Little (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shrewsbury Analysis

Shrewsbury approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 49 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 42:68 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on George Lloyd (4 goals), Luca Hoole (4 goals), William Boyle (4 goals), with creative support from Sam Clucas (5 assists), William Boyle (3 assists), Anthony Scully (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham won 3 times, Shrewsbury won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Gillingham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75.9%)
Predicted formations: Gillingham 4-2-3-1 / Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Gillingham wins 3, draws 8, Shrewsbury wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
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