PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Referee: J. Goncalves
GIL Vicente
Match Timeline
Vitória SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
36'
Gustavo Silva
Guimaraes
🔄
63'
A. Moreira ↔ J. Fernandes
GIL Vicente
🔄
64'
D. Sousa ↔ G. Nogueira
Guimaraes
🔄
64'
M. Nogueira ↔ O. Camara
Guimaraes
66'
Gustavo · Assist: G. Nogueira
Guimaraes
🔄
73'
F. Caseres ↔ Ze Carlos
GIL Vicente
🔄
73'
L. Esteves ↔ M. Fernandez
GIL Vicente
🔄
74'
Gustavo ↔ N. Oliveira
Guimaraes
🔄
79'
S. Garcia ↔ H. Hernandez
GIL Vicente
🔄
79'
G. Varela ↔ Carlos Eduardo
GIL Vicente
🟨
81'
Thiago Balieiro
Guimaraes
🟨
83'
Ghislain Konan
GIL Vicente
🟨
83'
Charles
Guimaraes
🔄
84'
Samu ↔ R. Abascal
Guimaraes
🔄
84'
Maga ↔ T. Strata
Guimaraes
🟨
90+6'
Zé Carlos
GIL Vicente

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76%
-
Probability Distribution
GIL Vicente Win 73.6%
Draw 6.5%
Vitória SC Win 19.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
GIL Vicente1.5
Vitória SC1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WWDLW
44 GF / 30 GA
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WLDWL
35 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
14
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
14
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 29 matches
Vitória SC Vitória SC 29 matches
GIL Vicente Statistic Vitória SC
12 Wins 10
10 Draws 6
7 Losses 13
44 Goals For 35
30 Goals Against 43
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
14 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 10
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.03
14.03 Total Shots 13.45
5.55 Corners 4.34
49.9% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights GIL Vicente's more proactive style and Guimaraes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Guimaraes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guimaraes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

GIL Vicente Analysis

So far, GIL Vicente have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 46 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 42:28 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pablo (10 goals), Murilo de Souza (9 goals), G. Varela (6 goals), with creative support from L. Esteves (7 assists), Murilo de Souza (4 assists), Santi García (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vitória SC Analysis

With 36 points from 29 games and a place of 8, Guimaraes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 35:43 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Samu (6 goals), Oumar Camara (5 goals), Gustavo (4 goals), with creative support from N. Saviolo (4 assists), Samu (3 assists), Gonçalo Nogueira (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, GIL Vicente won 5 times, Vitória SC won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from GIL Vicente's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1 / Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: GIL Vicente wins 5, draws 1, Vitória SC wins 8
Stats
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
10 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
376 Total passes 352
289 Passes accurate 268
1.21 expected_goals 0.82
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

GIL Vicente
Formation
Guimaraes
Figueira Daniel
Figueira Daniel
Ze Carlos
Ze Carlos
A. Espigares
A. Espigares
J. Buatu
J. Buatu
G. Konan
G. Konan
F. Caseres
F. Caseres
L. Esteves
L. Esteves
Murilo de Souza
Murilo de Souza
S. Garcia
S. Garcia
A. Moreira
A. Moreira
G. Varela
G. Varela
Charles Silva
Charles Silva
Maga
Maga
O. Rivas Viondi
O. Rivas Viondi
Thiago Balieiro
Thiago Balieiro
J. I. Mendes
J. I. Mendes
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
Beni
Beni
M. Nogueira
M. Nogueira
Samu
Samu
N. Saviolo
N. Saviolo
Gustavo
Gustavo
GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
Figueira Daniel
G
2
Ze Carlos
🟨 90+6'
D
48
A. Espigares
D
39
J. Buatu
D
3
G. Konan
🟨 83'
D
5
F. Caseres
↓ 73'
M
10
L. Esteves
↓ 73'
M
77
Murilo de Souza
M
95
S. Garcia
↓ 79'
M
27
A. Moreira
↓ 63'
M
89
G. Varela
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
30
Lucao
G
45
J. Mutombo
D
20
S. Hevertton
D
6
Ze Carlos
↑ 73'
M
80
R. Rodrigues
M
23
H. Hernandez
↑ 79'
F
11
J. Fernandes
↑ 63'
F
32
M. Fernandez
↑ 73'
M
29
Carlos Eduardo
↑ 79'
F
Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
27
Charles Silva
🟨 83'
G
2
Maga
↓ 84'
D
4
O. Rivas Viondi
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
🟨 81'
D
13
J. I. Mendes
D
23
D. Sousa
↓ 64'
M
16
Beni
M
88
M. Nogueira
↓ 64'
M
20
Samu
↓ 84'
M
48
N. Saviolo
M
11
Gustavo
⚽ 66' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Castillo
G
7
N. Oliveira
↑ 74'
F
18
T. Arcanjo
M
22
F. Blanco
F
26
R. Abascal
↑ 84'
D
17
O. Lebedenko
D
30
G. Nogueira
🎯 66' ↑ 64'
M
66
T. Strata
↑ 84'
D
19
O. Camara
↑ 64'
F
Last matches: GIL Vicente
09.08.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
0
0
D
27.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
2
2
D
08.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
5
0
W
26.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Nacional
2
1
W
Last matches: Vitória SC
08.08.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Chaves
2
0
W
26.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Felgueiras 1932
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
1
5
L
25.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Rio Ave
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
SC Braga
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Arouca
2
3
L
H2H: GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC
18.04.26
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
L
08.12.25
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
11.04.25
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
L
02.12.24
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
4
0
L
08.02.24
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
3
1
L
28.01.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
1
0
W
19.08.23
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
2
1
L
21.05.23
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
1
0
L
16.01.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
2
1
W
15.05.22
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
5
0
L
10.01.22
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
3
2
W
17.07.21
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
14.03.21
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
2
4
W
01.11.20
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
1
2
L
10.07.20
H2H
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
1
2
W
Last matches: GIL Vicente
09.08.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
GIL Vicente
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
AVS
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Alverca
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Benfica
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
5
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Nacional
2
1
W
02.01.26
Pri
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
2
2
D
29.11.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Tondela
0
1
L
03.11.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estrela
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Estoril
2
0
W
29.08.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
2
0
W
18.08.25
Pri
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
0
2
L
H2H at home: GIL Vicente
18.04.26
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
L
11.04.25
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
L
28.01.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
1
0
W
16.01.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
2
1
W
10.01.22
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
3
2
W
01.11.20
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
1
2
L
Last matches: Vitória SC
24.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
1
5
L
11.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
AVS
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Benfica
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Santa Clara
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
SC Braga
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Arouca
2
3
L
24.01.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Estoril
2
4
L
28.12.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Rio Ave
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Tondela
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Famalicao
0
2
L
28.09.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Alverca
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Estrela
2
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Moreirense
0
2
L
11.08.25
Pri
Vitória SC
FC Porto
0
3
L
H2H away: Vitória SC
18.04.26
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
W
11.04.25
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
0
1
W
28.01.24
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
1
0
L
16.01.23
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
2
1
L
10.01.22
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
3
2
L
01.11.20
H2H
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
1
2
W