PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
17.01.2026 15:30
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Referee: M. Nogueira
GIL Vicente
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Facundo Cáseres
GIL Vicente
⚽
19'
Murilo de Souza
GIL Vicente
⚽
22'
Ze Vitor · Assist: Leo Santos
Nacional
⚽
57'
S. Garcia
GIL Vicente
VAR
60'
Paulinho Bóia
Nacional
🟨
62'
Paulinho Bóia
Nacional
🔄
64'
C. Labidi ↔ M. Baeza
Nacional
🔄
64'
Paulinho Boia ↔ Gabriel Veron
Nacional
🟨
70'
Matheus Dias
Nacional
🔄
71'
Ze Carlos ↔ M. Bamba
GIL Vicente
🔄
72'
T. Toure ↔ J. Fernandes
GIL Vicente
🔄
74'
Matheus Dias ↔ J. Silva
Nacional
🔄
75'
J. Aurelio ↔ A. Nunez
Nacional
🔄
76'
G. Varela ↔ M. Fernandez
GIL Vicente
🔄
81'
Liziero ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🔄
85'
L. Esteves ↔ A. Espigares
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
GIL Vicente Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
GIL Vicente1.39
Nacional1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WWDLW
22 GF / 12 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
21 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
6
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
8
4.47
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 17 matches
Nacional Nacional 17 matches
GIL Vicente Statistic Nacional
7 Wins 4
7 Draws 5
3 Losses 8
22 Goals For 21
12 Goals Against 26
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
6 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
4.47 Shots On Goal 3.88
14.18 Total Shots 11.76
6.06 Corners 3.94
48.7% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GIL Vicente won 8 times, Nacional won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from GIL Vicente's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 4-3-3
H2H summary: GIL Vicente wins 8, draws 3, Nacional wins 4

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2