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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
24.10.2026 19:30

GIL Vicente vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
GIL Vicente Win 32%
Draw 3.7%
FC Porto Win 64.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
GIL Vicente1.02
FC Porto1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WWDLW
12 GF / 9 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
27 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
2.08
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
5
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
8
3.75
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 11 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 13 matches
GIL Vicente Statistic FC Porto
5 Wins 10
4 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
12 Goals For 27
9 Goals Against 12
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
5 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
3.75 Shots On Goal 5.6
13.38 Total Shots 14.6
3.25 Corners 5.7
52.6% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Porto. FC Porto carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 24 points while GIL Vicente sit 7 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Porto look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with GIL Vicente expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Porto in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Porto having the stronger overall control.

GIL Vicente Analysis

GIL Vicente sit 7 with 11 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 6:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Héctor Hernández (3 goals), Gil Pinto Martins (1 goals), Murilo (1 goals), with creative support from Gil Pinto Martins (2 assists), Héctor Hernández (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC Porto Analysis

FC Porto approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 24 points after 8 outings. The return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 20:4, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through André Silva (3 goals), Gabri Veiga (3 goals), William (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê Aquino (3 assists), André Silva (2 assists), Gabri Veiga (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GIL Vicente won 3 times, FC Porto won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:25 from GIL Vicente's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: GIL Vicente wins 3, draws 2, FC Porto wins 10

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2