PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
27.04.2026 19:15
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Referee: B. J. Costa
GIL Vicente
Match Timeline
Casa Pia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Rafael Brito
Casa Pia
31'
Murilo de Souza
GIL Vicente
🟨
45+4'
Zé Carlos
GIL Vicente
45'
Cassiano
Casa Pia
🔄
61'
M. Fernandez ↔ A. Moreira
GIL Vicente
🔄
61'
H. Hernandez ↔ G. Varela
GIL Vicente
🟨
63'
Zé Carlos
GIL Vicente
🟨
70'
Pedro Rosas
Casa Pia
73'
Murilo de Souza
GIL Vicente
🔄
74'
P. Rosas ↔ A. Conte
Casa Pia
🔄
74'
J. Marques ↔ D. Livramento
Casa Pia
🟨
78'
Andre Geraldes
Casa Pia
🔄
82'
J. Mutombo ↔ S. Hevertton
GIL Vicente
🔄
85'
Cassiano ↔ C. Mendes
Casa Pia
🔄
86'
I. Mohamed ↔ S. Perez
Casa Pia
🔄
86'
J. Livolant ↔ L. Ofori
Casa Pia
🔄
87'
Murilo de Souza ↔ Bermejo
GIL Vicente
🔄
88'
Ze Carlos ↔ A. Espigares
GIL Vicente
🟨
89'
Dani Figueira
GIL Vicente
🟨
90+4'
Antonio Espigares
GIL Vicente
🟨
90+3'
Gustavo Varela
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54%
-
HT / FT X-X
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
GIL Vicente Win 74.6%
Draw 13.6%
Casa Pia Win 11.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
GIL Vicente1.59
Casa Pia0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WWDLW
44 GF / 31 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
28 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
14
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
14
4.73
Shots on Goal
2.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 30 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 30 matches
GIL Vicente Statistic Casa Pia
12 Wins 5
10 Draws 11
8 Losses 14
44 Goals For 28
31 Goals Against 53
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
14 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 14
4.73 Shots On Goal 2.77
13.97 Total Shots 8.67
5.7 Corners 3.8
49.9% Ball Possession 41.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, GIL Vicente won 5 times, Casa Pia won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from GIL Vicente's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.2%)
Predicted formations: GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 3-4-3
H2H summary: GIL Vicente wins 5, draws 4, Casa Pia wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2