Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
GIL Vicente
32 matches
Arouca
32 matches
| GIL Vicente | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 10 |
| 11 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 16 |
| 46 | Goals For | 41 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.47 |
| 13.88 | Total Shots | 10.44 |
| 5.69 | Corners | 3.72 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between GIL Vicente's more proactive style and Arouca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arouca.
GIL Vicente sit 6 with 50 points after 32 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 46:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Murilo de Souza (11 goals), Pablo (10 goals), G. Varela (6 goals), with creative support from L. Esteves (7 assists), Murilo de Souza (4 assists), Santi García (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 32 matches, Arouca have collected 36 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, while the 41:62 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Trezza (8 goals), Ivan Barbero (7 goals), H. Lee (6 goals), with creative support from Tiago Esgaio (4 assists), H. Lee (3 assists), N. Djouahra (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GIL Vicente won 0 times, Arouca won 8 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:29 from GIL Vicente's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
GIL Vicente
5
6
5
4
5
3
Lineups
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
Tondela
GIL Vicente
AVS
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Estrela
GIL Vicente
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Estoril
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
Nacional
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
Arouca
Tondela
Arouca
Santa Clara
Arouca
Alverca
Arouca
Estrela
Arouca
SC Braga
Arouca
Estoril
Arouca
Moreirense
Arouca
Benfica
Arouca
Famalicao
Arouca
FC Porto
Arouca
Nacional
Arouca
Casa Pia
Arouca
Guimaraes
Arouca
Rio Ave
Arouca
Sporting CP
Arouca
AVS
Arouca
Tondela
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Santa Clara
Arouca
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
AVS
GIL Vicente
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Benfica
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Nacional
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Tondela
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Estrela
GIL Vicente
Estoril
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
Arouca
Alverca
Arouca
SC Braga
Arouca
Moreirense
Arouca
Famalicao
Arouca
FC Porto
Arouca
Casa Pia
Arouca
Rio Ave
Arouca
AVS
Arouca
Tondela
Arouca
Santa Clara
Arouca
Estrela
Arouca
Estoril
Arouca
Benfica
Arouca
Nacional
Arouca
Guimaraes
Arouca
Sporting CP