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18.10.2026 13:00
Idrottsparken
Referee: Rambod Beigi
GIF Sundsvall
Match Timeline
IFK Varnamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Malte Hallin
GIF Sundsvall
🔄
28'
S. Ekong ↔ K. Sulaiman
GIF Sundsvall
🟨
38'
Motaraghebjafarpour Arash
IFK Varnamo
🔄
62'
K. Meriluoto ↔ S. Thern
IFK Varnamo
🔄
62'
H. Andersson ↔ M. Akinfenwa
IFK Varnamo
⚽
62'
K. Meriluoto · Assist: A. Ljungberg
IFK Varnamo
🔄
68'
C. Bjork ↔ M. Manchon
GIF Sundsvall
🔄
68'
E. Hansson ↔ E. Gojani
GIF Sundsvall
🔄
74'
A. Motaraghebjafarpour ↔ E. Freij
IFK Varnamo
🟨
76'
Simon Thern
IFK Varnamo
🔄
76'
M. Hallin ↔ M. Sandberg
GIF Sundsvall
🔄
77'
A. Demirol ↔ J. Bjornler
GIF Sundsvall
🔄
83'
A. Ljungberg ↔ S. Ohlsson
IFK Varnamo

GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Varnamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
GIF Sundsvall Win 26.5%
Draw 3.7%
IFK Varnamo Win 69.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
GIF Sundsvall1.3
IFK Varnamo1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall
L L W L L
3 GF / 14 GA
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
L W L W D
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.41
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
16
BTTS Yes
21
23
Over 2.5
20
1.71
Shots on Goal
2.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 34 matches
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 34 matches
GIF Sundsvall Statistic IFK Varnamo
11 Wins 10
1 Draws 8
22 Losses 16
34 Goals For 48
68 Goals Against 60
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
16 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 27
23 Over 2.5 20
12 Over 3.5 14
4 Clean Sheets 5
14 Failed To Score 10
1.71 Shots On Goal 2.87
4.21 Total Shots 5.35
2.21 Corners 3.61
23.8% Ball Possession 33.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IFK Varnamo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

GIF Sundsvall Analysis

GIF Sundsvall approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 19 points from 25 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 19:53, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Hugo Aviander (2 goals), Suwaibou Kebbeh (1 goals), with creative support from Hugo Aviander (1 assists), Miguel Sandberg (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo sit 11 with 29 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while the 33:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Axel Björnström (2 goals), Simon Thern (1 goals), Marcus Antonsson (1 goals), with creative support from Simon Thern (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, GIF Sundsvall won 1 times, IFK Varnamo won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from GIF Sundsvall's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: GIF Sundsvall 4-4-2 / IFK Varnamo 4-4-2
H2H summary: GIF Sundsvall wins 1, draws 1, IFK Varnamo wins 3

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 20 5 4 61:18 43 65
W W D W W
2 29 16 6 7 54:39 15 54
W L W W D
3 29 13 9 7 48:37 11 48
D D D D W
4 29 12 12 5 38:29 9 48
L W D D D
5 29 13 8 8 48:34 14 47
W D L W W
6 29 12 9 8 50:38 12 45
W W L W L
7 29 14 3 12 49:45 4 45
W W W L L
8 29 11 9 9 45:49 -4 42
W L W L L
9 29 10 8 11 45:40 5 38
L W D L W
10 29 10 5 14 38:48 -10 35
W L W L W
11 29 8 10 11 39:40 -1 34
D D W D L
12 29 8 8 13 37:51 -14 32
L D D L D
13 29 6 11 12 32:44 -12 29
L W D D L
14 29 5 12 12 31:44 -13 27
L L L W D
15 29 6 8 15 46:57 -11 26
L L L W L
16 29 6 1 22 21:69 -48 19
L L L L W
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