EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
23.04.2026 18:00
El-Gazel Stadium
Referee: M. Wafa
Ghazl El Mehalla
Match Timeline
Petrojet
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
B. Moussa · Assist: A. Bah
Petrojet
🟨
55'
Abdelrahim Amoory
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
62'
J. Mwanga ↔ A. Ineza
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
63'
R. Arfaoui ↔ Y. El Azab
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
63'
M. Abdelsalam ↔ A. El Sheikh
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟨
64'
Mohamed Okasha
Petrojet
🟨
70'
Amadou Bah
Petrojet
🔄
71'
K. Saidi ↔ A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
71'
M. El Gamal ↔ S. Sonko
Petrojet
🔄
71'
A. Bah ↔ M. El Badry
Petrojet
🔄
71'
G. Chukwudi ↔ R. Ahmed
Petrojet
🔄
80'
B. Moussa ↔ A. Diabate
Petrojet
80'
A. Amoory · Assist: A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
89'
↔ M. El Moghzi
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟨
90'
Islam Abdallah
Petrojet

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 40.6%
Draw 24.8%
Petrojet Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ghazl El Mehalla0.88
Petrojet0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WWDLW
18 GF / 18 GA
Petrojet Petrojet
WLDWL
26 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
9
BTTS Yes
14
6
Over 2.5
10
2.2
Shots on Goal
3.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 25 matches
Petrojet Petrojet 25 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Statistic Petrojet
4 Wins 7
16 Draws 12
5 Losses 6
18 Goals For 26
18 Goals Against 28
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
9 BTTS Yes 14
11 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
15 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 7
2.2 Shots On Goal 3.04
8.32 Total Shots 11.08
3.24 Corners 3.56
45.4% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Petrojet carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 33 points while Ghazl El Mehalla sit 14 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Petrojet. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

Ghazl El Mehalla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 28 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats with a 3:2 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Shousha (5 goals), M. Salah (3 goals), J. Mwanga (2 goals), with creative support from K. Saidi (3 assists), R. Arfaoui (2 assists), B. Walid (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Petrojet Analysis

Petrojet sit 12 with 33 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 4:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Hamed (6 goals), R. Ahmed (4 goals), B. Moussa (3 goals), with creative support from M. El Gamal (5 assists), S. Sonko (2 assists), A. Hamed (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ghazl El Mehalla won 0 times, Petrojet won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Ghazl El Mehalla's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)
Predicted formations: Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1 / Petrojet 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ghazl El Mehalla wins 0, draws 6, Petrojet wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)