WORLD WORLD CUP
29.06.2026 20:30
Penalties 3-4
1 - 1
Gillette Stadium
Referee: Jalal Jayed, Morocco
Germany
Match Timeline
Paraguay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
J. Enciso · Assist: M. Galarza
Paraguay
🔄
46'
F. Nmecha ↔ L. Goretzka
Germany
54'
K. Havertz · Assist: F. Wirtz
Germany
🔄
55'
G. Avalos ↔ G. Caballero
Paraguay
🔄
57'
J. Enciso ↔ Mauricio
Paraguay
🔄
63'
D. Undav ↔ J. Musiala
Germany
🟨
65'
Andrés Cubas
Paraguay
🔄
79'
A. Pavlovic ↔ W. Anton
Germany
🔄
88'
L. Sane ↔ N. Woltemade
Germany
🔄
91'
M. Almiron ↔ G. Velazquez
Paraguay
🔄
99'
D. Bobadilla ↔ A. Sanabria
Paraguay
🔄
99'
J. Caceres ↔ B. Ojeda
Paraguay
VAR
103'
Jonathan Tah
Germany
🟨
106'
Kai Havertz
Germany
🔄
110'
F. Wirtz ↔ N. Amiri
Germany
🔄
110'
A. Rudiger ↔ M. Thiaw
Germany
🟨
115'
Jamal Musiala
Germany
🟨
117'
Matías Galarza
Paraguay
🔄
120+2'
J. Alonso ↔ Fabian Balbuena
Paraguay

Germany vs Paraguay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Germany Win 70.7%
Draw 7.7%
Paraguay Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Germany2.28
Paraguay1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Germany Germany
WWDLW
22 GF / 9 GA
Paraguay Paraguay
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
3.14
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
3
7.57
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Germany Germany 7 matches
Paraguay Paraguay 6 matches
Germany Statistic Paraguay
6 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
22 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 6
3.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 3
7 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 1
7.57 Shots On Goal 2
18.86 Total Shots 5.67
7 Corners 0.83
60.3% Ball Possession 23%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Germany won 0 times, Paraguay won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Germany's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Germany 4-4-2 / Paraguay 4-4-2
Missing players: Germany 2, Paraguay 1
H2H summary: Germany wins 0, draws 1, Paraguay wins 0

Standings

Group E
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 0 1 10:4 6 6
L L W W
2 3 2 0 1 4:2 2 6
L W L W
3 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L W D L
4 3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
L D L
Round of 32