BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Planet Group Arena
Referee: J. Vergoote
Gent
Match Timeline
Union St. Gilloise
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Wilfried Kanga
Gent
🔄
53'
H. Goore ↔ M. Sonko
Gent
🟨
57'
Siebe Van Der Heyden
Gent
🟨
57'
Michał Skóraś
Gent
🔄
62'
B. Zeneli ↔ M. Fuseini
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
62'
K. Rodriguez ↔ M. Biondic
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
62'
O. Niang ↔ Guilherme Smith
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
71'
W. Kanga ↔ I. Cisse
Gent
🔄
82'
A. Khalaili ↔ L. Patris
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
83'
Momodou Sonko
Gent
🔄
84'
M. Delorge-Knieper ↔ Hong Hyun-Seok
Gent
🔄
84'
T. Araujo ↔ M. Volckaert
Gent
VAR
87'
Mateo Biondic
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
89'
A. Ait El Hadj ↔ R. Florucz
Union St. Gilloise

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
33.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gent Win 25.5%
Draw 11.2%
Union St. Gilloise Win 63.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gent1.21
Union St. Gilloise1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gent Gent
WWDLW
53 GF / 52 GA
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WLDWL
69 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
22
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
20
4.13
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gent Gent 38 matches
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 46 matches
Gent Statistic Union St. Gilloise
13 Wins 27
11 Draws 10
14 Losses 9
53 Goals For 69
52 Goals Against 43
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
22 BTTS Yes 20
31 Over 1.5 33
19 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 20
10 Failed To Score 10
4.13 Shots On Goal 5.2
12.74 Total Shots 14.46
4.53 Corners 5.37
49.5% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Union St. Gilloise. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gent expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Union St. Gilloise in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union St. Gilloise having the stronger overall control. Union St. Gilloise carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 66 points while Gent sit 4 on 45, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gent Analysis

Placed 4 with 45 points from 30 outings, Gent continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 49:43 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by W. Kanga (12 goals), M. Dean (7 goals), O. Gandelman (7 goals), with creative support from M. Skoras (7 assists), A. Kadri (5 assists), W. Kanga (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Union St. Gilloise arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 66 points after 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 50:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Rodriguez (9 goals), P. David (9 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Khalaili (5 assists), A. Ait El Hadj (5 assists), A. Zorgane (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gent won 0 times, Union St. Gilloise won 7 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:25 from Gent's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Gent 4-2-3-1 / Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Gent wins 0, draws 8, Union St. Gilloise wins 7

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5
Gent Home
40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs