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25.10.2026 17:30
Planet Group Arena
Referee: E. Lambrechts
Gent
Match Timeline
Anderlecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
A. Kadri · Assist: T. Araujo
Gent
🟨
19'
Maksim Paskotsi
Gent
🟨
22'
Léo Pétrot
Anderlecht
🟨
34'
Giulian Biancone
Anderlecht
🔄
46'
L. Petrot ↔ A. Maamar
Anderlecht
🔄
46'
T. Degreef ↔ J. Onia Seke
Anderlecht
🟨
57'
Hyllarion Goore
Gent
🟨
64'
Jayden Onia Seke
Anderlecht
🔄
67'
E. Llansana ↔ D. Sikan
Anderlecht
🔄
68'
A. Kadri ↔ L. Lopes
Gent
🟨
70'
Mihajlo Cvetković
Anderlecht
⚽
73'
I. Cisse · Assist: T. Araujo
Gent
🔄
74'
M. Cvetkovic ↔ A. Bertaccini
Anderlecht
🔄
75'
H. Goore ↔ M. Volckaert
Gent
⚽
77'
M. Sonko
Gent
⚽
81'
M. Volckaert · Assist: T. Araujo
Gent
🔄
84'
M. Delorge ↔ A. Omgba
Gent
🔄
84'
I. Cisse ↔ M. Dean
Gent
🔄
84'
M. Sonko ↔ E. H. Seck
Gent
🔄
84'
M. Winkler ↔ M. Kana
Anderlecht

Gent vs Anderlecht Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gent Win 57.3%
Draw 6.9%
Anderlecht Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gent1.37
Anderlecht1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gent Gent
L W W W D
6 GF / 4 GA
Anderlecht Anderlecht
W L W W W
11 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.61
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
14
3.94
Shots on Goal
5.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gent Gent 22 matches
Anderlecht Anderlecht 23 matches
Gent Statistic Anderlecht
13 Wins 15
7 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
39 Goals For 37
17 Goals Against 18
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
10 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 11
4 Failed To Score 5
3.94 Shots On Goal 5.24
9 Total Shots 13
4.56 Corners 5.53
42.1% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Anderlecht. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gent arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 22 points compared to Anderlecht in 5 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gent expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Anderlecht in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Anderlecht having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gent Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 22 points from 8 games, Gent bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:4, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Y. Vergara Ortega (3 goals), Ibrahima Cisse (3 goals), Tiago Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Tiago Araújo (2 assists), Tibe De Vlieger (2 assists), Momodou Sonko (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Anderlecht Analysis

Anderlecht approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 16 points after 8 outings. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 9:6, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Tawfik Bentayeb (3 goals), Marten Winkler (2 goals), Adriano Bertaccini (2 goals), with creative support from Ali Maamar (2 assists), Tawfik Bentayeb (1 assists), Léo Pétrot (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gent won 5 times, Anderlecht won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:22 from Gent's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Gent 3-4-2-1 / Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gent wins 5, draws 3, Anderlecht wins 7

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 26:8 18 27
W W W W W
2 10 8 2 0 29:7 22 26
W W D W W
3
Gent Home
10 8 1 1 19:6 13 25
L W W W D
4 10 8 0 2 21:12 9 24
W L W W W
5 10 6 1 3 13:11 2 19
W L W W W
6 10 4 3 3 18:14 4 15
L W W L D
7 10 4 3 3 13:11 2 15
W D W D L
8 10 4 2 4 25:25 0 14
L D W W W
9 10 3 3 4 15:16 -1 12
D L L L L
10 10 3 2 5 12:16 -4 11
L L L L L
11 10 3 1 6 16:22 -6 10
L W L L L
12 10 3 1 6 13:20 -7 10
L D L L W
13 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
W D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 10:17 -7 9
W W D L L
15 10 2 2 6 18:21 -3 8
L L L L L
16 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L W L L W
17 10 1 3 6 13:22 -9 6
W L L L D
18 9 1 1 7 3:19 -16 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League