ITALY SERIE A
12.09.2026 13:00
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Referee: A. Rapuano

Genoa vs Frosinone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.3%
Odds 3.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.3%
3.60
BTTS Yes
75%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Genoa Win 20.5%
Draw 4.2%
Frosinone Win 75.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genoa1.13
Frosinone2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genoa Genoa
WWDLW
11 GF / 22 GA
Frosinone Frosinone
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.7
2.44
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
5
3.75
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genoa Genoa 9 matches
Frosinone Frosinone 10 matches
Genoa Statistic Frosinone
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
11 Goals For 17
22 Goals Against 10
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
2.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 6
13.5 Total Shots 14.6
5 Corners 4.4
44.3% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Genoa won 3 times, Frosinone won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Genoa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Genoa 3-4-2-1 / Frosinone 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Genoa 2, Frosinone 0
H2H summary: Genoa wins 3, draws 3, Frosinone wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:1 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:3 5 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 4:1 3 9
W W W
4 3 2 1 0 7:3 4 7
W W D
5 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
D W W
6 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
D W W
7 3 2 0 1 6:3 3 6
W W L
8 3 2 0 1 4:3 1 6
L W W
9 3 2 0 1 2:1 1 6
W L W
10 3 1 1 1 5:5 0 4
D W L
11 3 1 1 1 5:5 0 4
L W D
12 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
L L W
13 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
W L L
14 3 1 0 2 2:5 -3 3
L L W
15 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
16 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
D L L
17 3 0 1 2 1:4 -3 1
D L L
18 3 0 1 2 4:8 -4 1
D L L
19
Genoa Home
3 0 0 3 1:7 -6 0
L L L
20 4 0 0 4 4:11 -7 0
L L L L
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