ITALY SERIE A
04.09.2026 18:45
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Referee: M. Guida
Genoa
Match Timeline
Como
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Osmajic · Assist: L. Colombo
Genoa
25'
M. Baturina · Assist: A. Valle
Como
30'
A. Diao
Como
🟨
36'
Djibril Sow
Genoa
40'
N. Paz · Assist: Y. Couto
Como
🔄
46'
S. Sabelli ↔ Vitinha
Genoa
🟨
60'
Martin Baturina
Como
🟨
62'
Leo Østigård
Genoa
🔄
66'
T. Baldanzi ↔ Junior Messias
Genoa
🔄
66'
M. Baturina ↔ M. Caqueret
Como
🔄
66'
A. Douvikas ↔ M. Kean
Como
🔄
67'
L. Colombo ↔ K. Ehizibue
Genoa
🔄
75'
D. Sow ↔ Amorim
Genoa
78'
A. Diao · Assist: M. Kean
Como
🔄
80'
N. Paz ↔ L. Milla
Como
🔄
80'
L. Da Cunha ↔ S. Ricci
Como
🔄
81'
A. Marcandalli ↔ F. Meichtry
Genoa
🔄
84'
A. Diao ↔ M. Liberali
Como

Genoa vs Como Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.7%
1.79
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.08
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.51
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Genoa Win 33.1%
Draw 17.3%
Como Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genoa1.15
Como1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genoa Genoa
WWDLW
10 GF / 18 GA
Como Como
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
4.33
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genoa Genoa 8 matches
Como Como 5 matches
Genoa Statistic Como
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 4
4 Losses 0
10 Goals For 6
18 Goals Against 5
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 6
14.33 Total Shots 20.5
5 Corners 8.5
46.3% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Genoa won 0 times, Como won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Genoa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Genoa 3-4-1-2 / Como 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Genoa 1, Como 2
H2H summary: Genoa wins 0, draws 4, Como wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5
Como Away
4 3 1 0 9:4 5 10
W W W D
6 4 2 2 0 7:4 3 8
D D W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
D W W L
8 4 2 1 1 6:4 2 7
L D W W
9 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W L L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
L L W W
12 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
16 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
18 4 0 1 3 2:6 -4 1
L D L L
19
Genoa Home
4 0 1 3 2:8 -6 1
D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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