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08.11.2026 14:00
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Referee: D. Massa
Genoa
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Alphadjo Cissè · Assist: Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
⚽
19'
Christian Pulisic · Assist: Gonçalo Ramos
AC Milan
🟨
28'
Sankhoun Diawara
AC Milan
🟨
50'
Alessandro Marcandalli
Genoa
🟨
50'
Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
61'
Alphadjo Cissè ↔ Omari Hutchinson
AC Milan
🔄
62'
Sankhoun Diawara ↔ Filippo Terracciano
AC Milan
🔄
62'
Junior Messias ↔ Tommaso Baldanzi
Genoa
🔄
62'
Alessandro Marcandalli ↔ Stephan El Shaarawy
Genoa
🔄
74'
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira ↔ Lorenzo Colombo
Genoa
🟨
76'
Christian Pulisic
AC Milan
🔄
79'
Christian Pulisic ↔ Ardon Jashari
AC Milan
🔄
84'
Hamed Junior Traorè ↔ Djibril Sow
Genoa
🔄
84'
Samuel Wiafe ↔ Franz-Ethan Meichtry
Genoa
🟨
87'
Mario Gila
AC Milan
🔄
87'
Yunus Musah ↔ Pervis Estupinan
AC Milan
⚽
88'
Mikael Ellertsson · Assist: Tommaso Baldanzi
Genoa
🟨
90+4'
Kingsley Ehizibue
Genoa

Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.9%
1.99 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.23 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.2%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Genoa Win 19.6%
Draw 24.5%
AC Milan Win 55.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genoa1.3
AC Milan1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genoa Genoa
W W W L W
7 GF / 4 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
L W L W L
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
11
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genoa Genoa 18 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 18 matches
Genoa Statistic AC Milan
8 Wins 8
2 Draws 5
8 Losses 5
21 Goals For 32
31 Goals Against 27
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.58 Total Shots 12.14
5 Corners 3.43
44.2% Ball Possession 57.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genoa won 1 times, AC Milan won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from Genoa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Genoa 3-4-2-1 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Genoa 1, AC Milan 0
H2H summary: Genoa wins 1, draws 4, AC Milan wins 10

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 2 0 25:9 16 29
D W W W W
2 11 9 1 1 28:13 15 28
W L W W W
3 11 8 3 0 31:10 21 27
W W W D W
4 11 7 3 1 23:13 10 24
W W L W W
5 11 7 2 2 18:10 8 23
L W W W W
6 11 6 2 3 24:15 9 20
L W W D W
7 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W L W L
8 11 5 2 4 16:14 2 17
W W W W L
9 11 5 1 5 10:15 -5 16
W L L L L
10 11 4 3 4 18:14 4 15
D L W D L
11 11 4 2 5 15:17 -2 14
D L L W W
12 11 4 2 5 17:20 -3 14
W L D D L
13
Genoa Home
11 4 1 6 11:16 -5 13
L W W W L
14 11 3 1 7 12:22 -10 10
D L L L W
15 11 2 3 6 17:25 -8 9
D W D L L
16 11 2 2 7 9:17 -8 8
L W D L L
17 11 2 2 7 16:29 -13 8
L L L L L
18 11 2 1 8 17:25 -8 7
L L L L W
19 11 2 0 9 8:21 -13 6
W L L L W
20 11 1 2 8 12:25 -13 5
L L D L L
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Play-offs
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