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10.10.2026 18:45
Cegeka Arena
Referee: W. Smet
Genk
Match Timeline
Kortrijk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
D. Heymans
Genk
⚽
13'
H. Murray-Campbell
Genk
🟨
15'
Shandre Campbell
Kortrijk
🟨
24'
Matthew Anderson
Kortrijk
🟨
49'
Shandre Campbell
Kortrijk
🟥
49'
Shandre Campbell
Kortrijk
VAR
63'
Joris Kayembe
Genk
⚽
63'
R. Durosinmi · Assist: D. Heymans
Genk
🔄
68'
B. Tahirovic ↔ J. Erenbjerg
Genk
🔄
68'
A. Phillips ↔ J. van Landschoot
Kortrijk
🔄
68'
G. Koyalipou ↔ S. Ogbuehi
Kortrijk
🟨
69'
Joris Kayembe
Genk
🔄
76'
R. Durosinmi ↔ A. Bibout
Genk
🔄
77'
J. Kayembe ↔ M. Roganovic
Genk
🔄
77'
J. Ito ↔ J. Afriyie
Genk
🔄
80'
M. Anderson ↔ J. Ndjeungoue
Kortrijk
🔄
80'
R. Kohon ↔ M. Fofana
Kortrijk
🔄
80'
B. Dejaegere ↔ L. De Smet
Kortrijk
🔄
86'
D. Heymans ↔ A. De Wannemacker
Genk

Genk vs Kortrijk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Genk Win 87.7%
Draw 6.1%
Kortrijk Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk1.73
Kortrijk1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genk Genk
L L D D W
6 GF / 6 GA
Kortrijk Kortrijk
W L L L L
2 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
12
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
10
4.86
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genk Genk 19 matches
Kortrijk Kortrijk 18 matches
Genk Statistic Kortrijk
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 9
35 Goals For 28
36 Goals Against 28
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
4.86 Shots On Goal 2.86
14.14 Total Shots 11.71
3.71 Corners 3.43
51.9% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Genk's more proactive style and Kortrijk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Genk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kortrijk in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kortrijk having the stronger overall control. Kortrijk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kortrijk. Genk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 9 points compared to Kortrijk in 16 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Genk Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Genk have collected 9 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Durosinmi (4 goals), J. Kongolo (2 goals), J. Ito (1 goals), with creative support from J. Erenbjerg (3 assists), J. Ito (2 assists), I. Bangoura (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Kortrijk Analysis

Kortrijk sit 16 with 3 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 2:15, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through S. Campbell (1 goals), J. Roche (1 goals), with creative support from T. Ambrose (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 9 times, Kortrijk won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from Genk's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Genk 4-2-3-1 / Kortrijk 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Genk wins 9, draws 2, Kortrijk wins 4

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 26:8 18 27
W W W W W
2 10 8 2 0 29:7 22 26
W W D W W
3 9 8 1 0 19:4 15 25
W W W D W
4 9 7 0 2 16:10 6 21
L W W W L
5 10 6 1 3 13:11 2 19
W L W W W
6
Genk Home
10 4 3 3 18:14 4 15
L W W L D
7 10 4 2 4 25:25 0 14
L D W W W
8 9 3 3 3 11:11 0 12
D W D L L
9 10 3 3 4 15:16 -1 12
D L L L L
10 10 3 2 5 12:16 -4 11
L L L L L
11 10 3 1 6 16:22 -6 10
L W L L L
12 10 3 1 6 13:20 -7 10
L D L L W
13 9 2 3 4 10:17 -7 9
W W D L L
14 9 2 2 5 17:19 -2 8
L L L L W
15 9 2 1 6 11:18 -7 7
W L L W L
16 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
D D W D L
17 10 1 3 6 13:22 -9 6
W L L L D
18 9 1 1 7 3:19 -16 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League