10.10.2026 18:45
Cegeka Arena

Genk vs Kortrijk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Genk Win 88%
Draw 6%
Kortrijk Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk1.73
Kortrijk1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genk Genk
WWDLW
35 GF / 36 GA
Kortrijk Kortrijk
WLDWL
28 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
12
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
10
4.25
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genk Genk 19 matches
Kortrijk Kortrijk 18 matches
Genk Statistic Kortrijk
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 9
35 Goals For 28
36 Goals Against 28
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
4.25 Shots On Goal 2.86
12.38 Total Shots 11.71
3.25 Corners 3.43
45.4% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Genk's more proactive style and Kortrijk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kortrijk. Kortrijk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Genk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kortrijk in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kortrijk having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Genk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 9 points compared to Kortrijk in 16 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Genk Analysis

So far, Genk have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 9 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Durosinmi (4 goals), J. Kongolo (2 goals), J. Ito (1 goals), with creative support from J. Erenbjerg (3 assists), J. Ito (2 assists), I. Bangoura (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Kortrijk Analysis

Kortrijk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 3 points from 7 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 2:15, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through S. Campbell (1 goals), J. Roche (1 goals), with creative support from T. Ambrose (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 9 times, Kortrijk won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from Genk's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Genk 4-2-3-1 / Kortrijk 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Genk wins 9, draws 2, Kortrijk wins 4

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 21:3 18 19
W W W W W
2 7 6 1 0 13:4 9 19
W D W W W
3 7 6 0 1 15:3 12 18
W W W L W
4 7 6 0 1 15:7 8 18
W W L W W
5 7 4 1 2 7:5 2 13
W W D W L
6 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
L L W D W
7 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
8 7 3 1 3 15:16 -1 10
W W W D L
9 7 3 0 4 7:11 -4 9
L W W L L
10
Genk Home
7 2 3 2 13:12 1 9
L D D W D
11 7 2 2 3 12:12 0 8
L L W L W
12 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
D L L W W
13 7 2 1 4 11:15 -4 7
L L L L D
14 7 1 1 5 7:14 -7 4
L W L D L
15 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
W D L L L
16 7 1 0 6 2:15 -13 3
W L L L L
17 7 0 3 4 8:14 -6 3
L D L L L
18 7 0 3 4 5:14 -9 3
D L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League