13.09.2026 14:00
Cegeka Arena

Genk vs Gent Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds 2.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
2.06
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Genk Win 54.2%
Draw 3.3%
Gent Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk1.54
Gent1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genk Genk
WWDLW
33 GF / 30 GA
Gent Gent
WLDWL
33 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
10
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
9
5.2
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genk Genk 16 matches
Gent Gent 17 matches
Genk Statistic Gent
8 Wins 10
2 Draws 6
6 Losses 1
33 Goals For 33
30 Goals Against 13
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
10 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 3
5.2 Shots On Goal 3.64
12.6 Total Shots 6.64
4 Corners 3.73
52.2% Ball Possession 39.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Genk won 7 times, Gent won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from Genk's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: Genk 4-2-3-1 / Gent 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Genk wins 7, draws 5, Gent wins 3

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gent Away
5 5 0 0 10:2 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
W W W D W
3 5 4 0 1 9:2 7 12
W L W W W
4 5 4 0 1 11:5 6 12
L W W W W
5 5 3 2 0 10:3 7 11
W D W D W
6 5 3 2 0 10:6 4 11
W W W D D
7 6 3 1 2 4:5 -1 10
W D W L L
8
Genk Home
5 2 2 1 12:8 4 8
D W D W L
9 5 2 2 1 12:8 4 8
W L W D D
10 5 2 1 2 6:3 3 7
L W W L D
11 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L L D W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
W L L W L
13 5 1 1 3 9:14 -5 4
W D L L L
14 5 0 2 3 5:10 -5 2
L L L D D
15 6 0 2 4 5:14 -9 2
L L D L D
16 5 0 1 4 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
17 5 0 0 5 2:12 -10 0
L L L L L
18 5 0 0 5 1:12 -11 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League