ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
19.09.2026 14:00
Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead vs Southend Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gateshead Win 25.3%
Draw 15.7%
Southend Win 59%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gateshead1.4
Southend1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gateshead Gateshead
WWDLW
18 GF / 24 GA
Southend Southend
WLDWL
22 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gateshead Gateshead 13 matches
Southend Southend 12 matches
Gateshead Statistic Southend
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
7 Losses 3
18 Goals For 22
24 Goals Against 17
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
8 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Southend's more proactive style and Gateshead's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Southend. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Southend having the stronger overall control. Gateshead have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Southend carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while Gateshead sit 22 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Gateshead Analysis

Gateshead sit 22 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Southend Analysis

Southend come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 13 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 12:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gateshead won 3 times, Southend won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Gateshead's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
H2H summary: Gateshead wins 3, draws 3, Southend wins 2

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation