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14.11.2026 15:00
Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead vs Barrow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.5%
1.48 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.67 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Gateshead Win 15.2%
Draw 18.4%
Barrow Win 66.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gateshead0.98
Barrow1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gateshead Gateshead
L L L D L
3 GF / 13 GA
Barrow Barrow
W D W W D
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.65
2.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
11
5.5
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gateshead Gateshead 23 matches
Barrow Barrow 23 matches
Gateshead Statistic Barrow
2 Wins 13
5 Draws 6
16 Losses 4
23 Goals For 38
51 Goals Against 22
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
2.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 4
5.5 Shots On Goal 1.67
8.5 Total Shots 3.33
5.5 Corners 2.33
52.5% Ball Possession 16%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Barrow's more proactive style and Gateshead's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Barrow carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 25 points while Gateshead sit 24 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barrow. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Barrow look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barrow having the stronger overall control.

Gateshead Analysis

Gateshead approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 24 with 4 points from 15 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 9:34, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barrow Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Barrow have collected 25 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 26:19 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Gateshead won 5 times, Barrow won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Gateshead's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Gateshead - / Barrow 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gateshead wins 5, draws 4, Barrow wins 4

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 2 0 44:17 27 44
W W W W W
2 16 10 2 4 34:23 11 32
D L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 38:27 11 29
L D D W W
4 16 9 2 5 30:24 6 29
W W L W L
5 16 8 4 4 35:20 15 28
L W L W W
6 16 8 4 4 32:25 7 28
L D W W W
7 16 9 1 6 24:24 0 28
L D W W L
8 16 7 5 4 32:23 9 26
W W W D W
9 15 7 4 4 26:19 7 25
D W W W W
10 16 7 3 6 28:20 8 24
W L D W W
11 16 7 3 6 20:21 -1 24
W W L L D
12 16 6 3 7 25:24 1 21
W L W L W
13 16 5 6 5 17:16 1 21
L D L D D
14 16 6 3 7 19:19 0 21
W L L L L
15 16 7 0 9 18:26 -8 21
L L L W L
16 14 5 4 5 23:24 -1 19
D W L D D
17 16 5 4 7 19:25 -6 19
D L W L L
18 16 5 3 8 23:29 -6 18
W L W L L
19 16 5 3 8 21:29 -8 18
W W L L L
20 15 5 2 8 25:32 -7 17
L W L W W
21 16 5 0 11 18:27 -9 15
L L W W L
22 16 4 1 11 19:40 -21 13
W W L L L
23 15 3 1 11 19:30 -11 10
L L L L L
24 15 1 1 13 9:34 -25 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation