BRAZIL SERIE D
16.05.2026 21:00
GAS
Match Timeline
Monte Roraima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
Eric Bahia
GAS
27'
Matheus Taumaturgo
Monte Roraima
62'
Leandro Germano
Monte Roraima
73'
Xandy
Monte Roraima
88'
Vanilson
GAS

GAS vs Monte Roraima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
GAS Win 29.9%
Draw 27.2%
Monte Roraima Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAS0.7
Monte Roraima1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAS GAS
WWDLW
3 GF / 8 GA
Monte Roraima Monte Roraima
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GAS GAS 6 matches
Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 6 matches
GAS Statistic Monte Roraima
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
8 Goals Against 6
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Monte Roraima having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Monte Roraima. Monte Roraima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 6 points while GAS sit 6 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. GAS have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

GAS Analysis

GAS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 2 points from 6 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 3:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vanilson (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monte Roraima Analysis

Monte Roraima come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 6 points from 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luquinhas (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, GAS won 1 times, Monte Roraima won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from GAS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.8%)
H2H summary: GAS wins 1, draws 6, Monte Roraima wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6
GAS Home
10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)