WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Essity Stadium
Referee: A. Jones
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Match Timeline
Trefelin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
J. Ferguson
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🟨
17'
D. John
Trefelin
20'
H. Mehasseb · Assist: J. Ferguson
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🟨
45+3'
J. Jones
Trefelin
🟨
47'
K. Georgievsky
Trefelin
54'
H. Mehasseb · Assist: C. West
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🟨
56'
J. Davies
Trefelin
56'
J. Ferguson · Assist: H. Mehasseb
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
58'
H. Mehasseb ↔ D. Stephenson
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
58'
R. Watson ↔ A. Sharif
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
59'
M. Woodcock ↔ F. Redshaw
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
66'
J. Davies ↔ C. Saunders
Trefelin
🔄
66'
K. Georgievsky ↔ R. Piper
Trefelin
🔄
74'
J. Jones ↔ K. Parker
Trefelin
🔄
79'
D. John ↔ L. Pockett
Trefelin
🔄
80'
A. Hughes ↔ C. Partridge
GAP Connah S Quay FC
83'
J. Ferguson
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
85'
M. Stone ↔ A. Jones
GAP Connah S Quay FC
90'
H. Franklin · Assist: C. West
GAP Connah S Quay FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 79.5%
Draw 10.3%
Trefelin Win 10.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAP Connah S Quay FC2.5
Trefelin0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
Trefelin Trefelin
WLDWL
2 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
4.5
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 6 matches
Trefelin Trefelin 4 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC Statistic Trefelin
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
3 Losses 4
7 Goals For 2
7 Goals Against 18
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 4.5
3 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 3 times, Trefelin won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:1 from GAP Connah S Quay FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.8%)
Predicted formations: GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-3-3 / Trefelin -
H2H summary: GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 3, draws 0, Trefelin wins 0

Lineups

GAP Connah S Quay FC
Formation
Trefelin
C. Renshaw
C. Renshaw
J. Jones
J. Jones
A. Hughes
A. Hughes
C. West
🎯
C. West
H. Franklin
H. Franklin
M. Stone
M. Stone
F. Deane
F. Deane
M. Woodcock
M. Woodcock
R. Watson
R. Watson
J. Ferguson
⚽ 3 🎯
J. Ferguson
H. Mehasseb
⚽ 2 🎯
H. Mehasseb
S. Coughlan
S. Coughlan
D. Horgan-Evans
D. Horgan-Evans
L. Caramella-Gerrard
L. Caramella-Gerrard
K. Georgievsky
K. Georgievsky
J. Davies
J. Davies
D. John
D. John
T. Brock
T. Brock
L. Ware
L. Ware
J. Jones
J. Jones
J. Jones
J. Jones
K. Owen
K. Owen
GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Renshaw
4
J. Jones
5
A. Hughes
↓ 80'
8
C. West
🎯 54' 🎯 90'
9
H. Franklin
⚽ 90'
11
M. Stone
↓ 85'
16
F. Deane
18
M. Woodcock
↓ 59'
21
R. Watson
↓ 58'
22
J. Ferguson
⚽ 14' ⚽ 56' ⚽ 83' 🎯 20'
99
H. Mehasseb
⚽ 20' ⚽ 54' 🎯 56' ↓ 58'
Substitutes
68
D. Liepa
7
D. Stephenson
↑ 58'
23
A. Sharif
↑ 58'
27
F. Redshaw
↑ 59'
34
C. Partridge
↑ 80'
37
J. Waterhouse
55
A. Jones
↑ 85'
Trefelin 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Coughlan
3
D. Horgan-Evans
4
L. Caramella-Gerrard
7
K. Georgievsky
↓ 66' 🟨 47'
8
J. Davies
↓ 66' 🟨 56'
9
D. John
↓ 79' 🟨 17'
10
T. Brock
11
L. Ware
14
J. Jones
↓ 74'
19
J. Jones
🟨 45+3'
26
K. Owen
Substitutes
21
H. Jones
2
M. Thomas
12
C. Saunders
↑ 66'
15
K. Parker
↑ 74'
16
R. Piper
↑ 66'
33
L. Pockett
↑ 79'
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
22.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ammanford AFC
2
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Holywell
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
16.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
2
3
L
08.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Queen of the South
1
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Larne
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
2
W
03.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
2
D
13.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
03.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
3
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3
1
W
Last matches: Trefelin
21.08.26
Pre
Trefelin
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
07.08.26
Pre
Trefelin
Llandudno
0
4
L
31.07.26
Pre
Trefelin
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Trefelin
Bromsgrove Sporting
0
8
L
03.07.26
Fri
Trefelin
Carmarthen Town
2
4
L
H2H: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin
14.08.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Trefelin
6
0
W
16.11.24
H2H
Trefelin
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
W
25.09.21
H2H
Trefelin
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
W
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
02.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
08.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
3
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Briton Ferry
4
2
W
05.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
4
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
3
D
04.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
23.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
02.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Bala Town
1
3
L
25.08.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
3
2
W
H2H at home: GAP Connah S Quay FC
14.08.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Trefelin
6
0
W
Last matches: Trefelin
31.07.26
Pre
Trefelin
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Trefelin
Bromsgrove Sporting
0
8
L
03.07.26
Fri
Trefelin
Carmarthen Town
2
4
L
H2H away: Trefelin
14.08.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Trefelin
6
0
L