18.09.2026 18:45
Essity Stadium

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 42.4%
Draw 14.9%
Cardiff MET Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.5
Cardiff MET1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 11 GA
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
WLDWL
30 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
2.31
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 12 matches
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 13 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC Statistic Cardiff MET
6 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
22 Goals For 30
11 Goals Against 13
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cardiff MET having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cardiff MET. GAP Connah S Quay FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

GAP Connah S Quay FC Analysis

GAP Connah S Quay FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 16 points after 7 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 18:5, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Cardiff MET Analysis

Cardiff MET are currently 7 in the standings with 13 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 18:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 9 times, Cardiff MET won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:10 from GAP Connah S Quay FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
H2H summary: GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 9, draws 3, Cardiff MET wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)