Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
65.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 35.9%
Draw 29.4%
Caernarfon Town Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.92
Caernarfon Town0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAP Connah S Quay FC
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
Caernarfon Town
WLDWL
2 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
3.67
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4 matches
Caernarfon Town
3 matches
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | Statistic | Caernarfon Town |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 3 | Goals For | 2 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 3.67 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 7 times, Caernarfon Town won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:21 from GAP Connah S Quay FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.7%)
Predicted formations: GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-3-3 / Caernarfon Town 5-4-1
H2H summary: GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 7, draws 5, Caernarfon Town wins 3
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
16.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
2
3
L
08.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Queen of the South
1
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Larne
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
2
W
03.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
2
D
13.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
03.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
3
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
2
0
W
21.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Briton Ferry
4
2
W
05.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
H2H: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town
13.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
W
06.02.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
13.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
23.09.25
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
03.12.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3
1
L
17.09.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
2
W
15.03.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
L
02.02.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
27.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
6
1
W
14.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
1
W
01.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
W
18.11.22
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
3
D
27.09.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
2
W
09.11.21
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
1
W
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
08.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
3
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Briton Ferry
4
2
W
05.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
4
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
3
D
04.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
23.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
02.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Bala Town
1
3
L
25.08.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
3
2
W
H2H at home: GAP Connah S Quay FC
06.02.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
03.12.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
17.09.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
2
W
02.02.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
27.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
6
1
W
14.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
1
W
18.11.22
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
3
D
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
23.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
5
2
W
30.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
5
2
W
09.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
H2H away: Caernarfon Town
06.02.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
W
03.12.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
17.09.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
2
L
02.02.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
27.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
6
1
L
14.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
1
L
18.11.22
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
3
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Caernarfon Town
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 4 |
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)