GAP Connah S Quay FC
Match Timeline
Caernarfon Town
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
65.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 35.9%
Draw 29.4%
Caernarfon Town Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.92
Caernarfon Town0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAP Connah S Quay FC
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
Caernarfon Town
WLDWL
2 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
3.67
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4 matches
Caernarfon Town
3 matches
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | Statistic | Caernarfon Town |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 3 | Goals For | 2 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 3.67 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 6 times, Caernarfon Town won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:23 from GAP Connah S Quay FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.7%)
Predicted formations: GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-3-3 / Caernarfon Town 5-4-1
H2H summary: GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 6, draws 5, Caernarfon Town wins 4
Lineups
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Formation
Caernarfon Town
C. Renshaw
J. Ferguson
J. Jones
A. Hughes
H. Franklin
I. Murray
M. Stone
C. West
A. Sharif
H. Mehasseb
R. Watson
C. Roberts
J. Piggott
D. Gosset
Z. Clarke
A. Cieslewicz
N. Edwards
B. Nash
S. Bradley
C. Marriott
R. Sears
O. Evans
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Renshaw
22
J. Ferguson
4
J. Jones
5
A. Hughes
↓ 82'
9
H. Franklin
10
I. Murray
11
M. Stone
⚽ 27'
↓ 82'
8
C. West
23
A. Sharif
↓ 82'
99
H. Mehasseb
↓ 66'
21
R. Watson
Substitutes
3
S. Flynn
7
D. Stephenson
↑ 82'
16
F. Deane
↑ 82'
18
M. Woodcock
↑ 66'
27
F. Redshaw
↑ 82'
34
C. Partridge
68
D. Liepa
Caernarfon Town
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Roberts
4
J. Piggott
8
D. Gosset
↓ 86'
🟨 63'
9
Z. Clarke
⚽ 71'
11
A. Cieslewicz
↓ 90+3'
14
N. Edwards
🟨 90+2'
16
B. Nash
🟨 70'
19
S. Bradley
⚽ 58'
23
C. Marriott
↓ 76'
27
R. Sears
29
O. Evans
↓ 76'
Substitutes
17
J. Williams
3
M. Jones
↑ 76'
5
P. Mooney
↑ 90+3'
6
J. Canavan
↑ 86'
7
P. Mendes
↑ 76'
10
D. Thomas
30
C. Griffith
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
14.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Trefelin
6
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Holywell
3
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
2
3
L
08.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Queen of the South
1
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Larne
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
2
W
03.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
2
D
13.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
03.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
3
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
2
0
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
H2H: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town
02.08.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
W
06.02.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
13.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
23.09.25
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
03.12.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3
1
L
17.09.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
2
W
15.03.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
L
02.02.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
27.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
6
1
W
14.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
1
W
01.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
W
18.11.22
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
3
D
27.09.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
2
W
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
14.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Trefelin
6
0
W
08.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
3
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Briton Ferry
4
2
W
05.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
4
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
3
D
04.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
23.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
02.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Bala Town
1
3
L
25.08.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
3
2
W
H2H at home: GAP Connah S Quay FC
02.08.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
06.02.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
03.12.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
17.09.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
2
W
02.02.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
27.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
6
1
W
14.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
1
W
18.11.22
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
3
D
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
23.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
5
2
W
30.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
5
2
W
09.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
H2H away: Caernarfon Town
02.08.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
W
06.02.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
23.09.25
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
W
03.12.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
17.09.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
2
L
02.02.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
27.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
6
1
L
14.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
1
L
18.11.22
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
3
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Home
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 6 |
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Caernarfon Town
Away
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:12 | -12 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)