02.08.2026 13:30

1 - 2

Essity Stadium

Referee: I. A. Griffith

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Match Timeline

Caernarfon Town

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 65.2%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 58.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	65.2%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	58.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 35.9%

Draw 29.4%

Caernarfon Town Win 34.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

GAP Connah S Quay FC1.92

Caernarfon Town0.8

Recent Form (Last 5)

GAP Connah S Quay FC

L D W L

3 GF / 4 GA

Caernarfon Town

L L W

2 GF / 11 GA

Key Stats

0.75

Average Goals Scored

0.67

Average Goals Conceded

3.67

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC 4 matches

Caernarfon Town 3 matches

GAP Connah S Quay FC	Statistic	Caernarfon Town
1	Wins	1
1	Draws	0
2	Losses	2
3	Goals For	2
4	Goals Against	11
0.75	Avg Goals Scored	0.67
1	Avg Goals Conceded	3.67
1	BTTS Yes	1
1	Over 1.5	3
1	Over 2.5	3
1	Over 3.5	2
2	Clean Sheets	0
2	Failed To Score	2
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 6 times, Caernarfon Town won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:23 from GAP Connah S Quay FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (70.7%)

H2H summary: GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 6, draws 5, Caernarfon Town wins 4

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	The New Saints	14	13	1	0	53:6	47	40	W W W W W
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC Home	14	11	1	2	32:9	23	34	W W W W W
3	Penybont	13	9	3	1	25:11	14	30	W L W W W
4	Caernarfon Town Away	14	9	2	3	40:16	24	29	W W L D W
5	Colwyn Bay	14	8	2	4	24:17	7	26	D W L W W
6	Barry Town	14	8	1	5	29:26	3	25	L L W L L
7	Airbus UK	14	8	0	6	28:20	8	24	W W W L W
8	Cardiff MET	14	6	4	4	26:18	8	22	D L W W D
9	Cambrian & Clydach	14	5	3	6	23:36	-13	18	L L L W L
10	Llandudno	14	5	1	8	22:25	-3	16	L L L L L
11	Haverfordwest County AFC	14	4	1	9	11:20	-9	13	W L L L L
12	Briton Ferry	14	3	3	8	13:25	-12	12	L L W D D
13	Flint Town United	14	3	2	9	14:25	-11	11	W L W W L
14	Ammanford AFC	14	2	3	9	10:41	-31	9	L W W L L
15	Trefelin	14	1	3	10	8:33	-25	6	L W L L D
16	Holywell	13	0	2	11	14:44	-30	2	L L D L L

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