15.09.2026 18:45
Essity Stadium
Referee: M. James

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49%
Odds 1.41
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49%
1.41
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.57
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 49%
Draw 13.3%
Airbus UK Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.66
Airbus UK1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 11 GA
Airbus UK Airbus UK
WLDWL
19 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.9
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
6
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 12 matches
Airbus UK Airbus UK 10 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC Statistic Airbus UK
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
4 Losses 4
22 Goals For 19
11 Goals Against 14
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
6 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. GAP Connah S Quay FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 16 points compared to Airbus UK in 8 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. GAP Connah S Quay FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Airbus UK. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Airbus UK having the stronger overall control.

GAP Connah S Quay FC Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 16 points from 7 games, GAP Connah S Quay FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 18:5 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Airbus UK Analysis

So far, Airbus UK have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 12 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 11 times, Airbus UK won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:18 from GAP Connah S Quay FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
H2H summary: GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 11, draws 1, Airbus UK wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)