Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- |
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gamba Osaka
13 matches
Fagiano Okayama
11 matches
| Gamba Osaka | Statistic | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 21 | Goals For | 10 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 6.1 | Shots On Goal | 3.4 |
| 13.8 | Total Shots | 12.7 |
| 4 | Corners | 6.2 |
| 55.9% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Gamba Osaka's more proactive style and Fagiano Okayama's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fagiano Okayama in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fagiano Okayama having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fagiano Okayama. Gamba Osaka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 17 points compared to Fagiano Okayama in 10 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Gamba Osaka sit 3 with 17 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 16:14, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Hummet (6 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), H. Minamino (1 goals), with creative support from I. Jebali (2 assists), D. Hummet (1 assists), R. Mito (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
With 11 points from 10 games and a place of 10, Fagiano Okayama still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with a 11:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Matsumoto (2 goals), Takaya Kimura (2 goals), Werik Popo (2 goals), with creative support from Takaya Kimura (1 assists), A. Esaka (1 assists), K. Kawano (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 2 times, Fagiano Okayama won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
Gamba Osaka
5
1
5
4
4
0
Lineups
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
Gamba Osaka
Shonan Bellmare
Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
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|
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| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
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|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
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|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Gamba Osaka
Home
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 |
Fagiano Okayama
Away
|
18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
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| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
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