BRAZIL SERIE D
16.08.2026 19:00
Gama
Match Timeline
Sao Jose
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Willian Junior
Gama
19'
Darlan
Gama
33'
Fabio Rampi · Assist: Fabio Rampi
Sao Jose
45+3'
Felipe Clemente
Gama
75'
K. L. Cordeiro Nunes
Gama

Gama vs Sao Jose Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gama Win 70.8%
Draw 4.1%
Sao Jose Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gama1.43
Sao Jose0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gama Gama
WWDLW
32 GF / 13 GA
Sao Jose Sao Jose
WLDWL
12 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gama Gama 17 matches
Sao Jose Sao Jose 17 matches
Gama Statistic Sao Jose
12 Wins 5
3 Draws 8
2 Losses 4
32 Goals For 12
13 Goals Against 13
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
7 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Gama's more proactive style and Sao Jose's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Gama come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Jose having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sao Jose. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gama arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 26 points compared to Sao Jose in 4 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Gama Analysis

Gama enter this tie with a season profile built on 26 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 23:6 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Sao Jose Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Sao Jose arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 13 points after 10 matches. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 6:8, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gama won 1 times, Sao Jose won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Gama's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
H2H summary: Gama wins 1, draws 1, Sao Jose wins 0

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama Home
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)