BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gama Win 64.2%
Draw 4%
Porto Velho Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gama1.54
Porto Velho1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gama Gama
WWDLW
26 GF / 9 GA
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WLDWL
37 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.85
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
5
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gama Gama 13 matches
Porto Velho Porto Velho 13 matches
Gama Statistic Porto Velho
10 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
1 Losses 2
26 Goals For 37
9 Goals Against 11
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.85
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
5 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Porto Velho have the edge after taking the first leg 2-0, leaving Gama needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gama come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Porto Velho. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Porto Velho having the stronger overall control. Gama arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 26 points compared to Porto Velho in 2 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Gama Analysis

Gama enter this tie with a season profile built on 26 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats with goals at 23:6 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Porto Velho Analysis

Porto Velho enter this tie with a season profile built on 18 points from 10 matches, placing them 2 in their league. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 33:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gama won 0 times, Porto Velho won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Gama's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
H2H summary: Gama wins 0, draws 2, Porto Velho wins 0
Last matches: Gama
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
Last matches: Porto Velho
04.07.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Gama
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
H2H: Gama vs Porto Velho
31.07.21
H2H
Gama
Porto Velho
1
1
D
10.07.21
H2H
Porto Velho
Gama
1
1
D
Last matches: Gama
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
H2H at home: Gama
31.07.21
H2H
Gama
Porto Velho
1
1
D
Last matches: Porto Velho
21.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
1
1
D
03.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
0
2
L
20.04.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
3
4
L
H2H away: Porto Velho
31.07.21
H2H
Gama
Porto Velho
1
1
D

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama Home
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)