BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Gama
Match Timeline
Mixto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Felipe Clemente
Gama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gama Win 74.2%
Draw 4.1%
Mixto Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gama1.76
Mixto0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gama Gama
WWDLW
25 GF / 7 GA
Mixto Mixto
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
1
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gama Gama 11 matches
Mixto Mixto 11 matches
Gama Statistic Mixto
9 Wins 2
2 Draws 6
0 Losses 3
25 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 11
2.27 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mixto. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mixto having the stronger overall control. Gama arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 26 points compared to Mixto in 4 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Gama come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gama Analysis

Gama come into this tie placed 1 in their league with 26 points from 10 matches. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses plus a goal ratio of 23:6, they bring very strong form with results showing strong momentum into this tie. Going forward they rely on Felipe Clemente (7 goals), Ramon (7 goals), Henrique Almeida (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Mixto Analysis

Mixto come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 12 points from 10 matches. With 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 10:9, they bring poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws into this tie. Going forward they rely on Di Maria (2 goals), Gabriel Justino (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gama won 2 times, Mixto won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Gama's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
H2H summary: Gama wins 2, draws 0, Mixto wins 0
Last matches: Gama
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
Last matches: Mixto
20.06.26
Ser
Mixto
Gama
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
0
2
L
17.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Porto Velho
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Aparecidense
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Luverdense
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
2
L
H2H: Gama vs Mixto
27.06.26
H2H
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
20.06.26
H2H
Mixto
Gama
1
2
W
Last matches: Gama
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
H2H at home: Gama
27.06.26
H2H
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
Last matches: Mixto
30.05.26
Ser
Mixto
União Rondonópolis
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Mixto
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Cianorte
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Mixto
Portuguesa
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Porto Velho
3
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Mixto
Luverdense
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Ceilândia
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Mixto
Goianésia
2
2
D
24.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Goiânia
3
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Mixto
Aparecidense
0
0
D
H2H away: Mixto
27.06.26
H2H
Gama
Mixto
1
0
L

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama Home
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)