BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.2%
1.40
BTTS No
50.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.59
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.68
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 3-0
-
26.00
Probability Distribution
Gama Win 49.1%
Draw 10.8%
America-RN Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gama1.27
America-RN1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gama Gama
WWDLW
28 GF / 10 GA
America-RN America-RN
WLDWL
26 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gama Gama 15 matches
America-RN America-RN 16 matches
Gama Statistic America-RN
11 Wins 11
2 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
28 Goals For 26
10 Goals Against 6
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
5 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 11
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. America-RN have the edge after taking the first leg 1-0, leaving Gama needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America-RN. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward America-RN having the stronger overall control. Gama come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Gama Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Gama arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 26 points after 10 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats with goals at 23:6 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

America-RN Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, America-RN arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 21 points after 10 matches. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 14:3 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Gama won 1 times, America-RN won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Gama's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
H2H summary: Gama wins 1, draws 0, America-RN wins 2
Last matches: Gama
19.07.26
Ser
Gama
America-RN
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
0
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
0
W
Last matches: America-RN
19.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Gama
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
H2H: Gama vs America-RN
19.07.26
H2H
America-RN
Gama
1
0
L
25.05.16
H2H
America-RN
Gama
3
2
L
14.05.16
H2H
Gama
America-RN
1
0
W
Last matches: Gama
12.07.26
Ser
Gama
Porto Velho
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Gama
Mixto
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Gama
Aparecidense
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Gama
Primavera MG
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Gama
Brasiliense
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gama
Luverdense
4
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Gama
Inhumas
2
0
W
H2H at home: Gama
14.05.16
H2H
Gama
America-RN
1
0
W
Last matches: America-RN
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
0
1
L
09.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
2
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
0
0
D
H2H away: America-RN
14.05.16
H2H
Gama
America-RN
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 2.58
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.75 1.23
Over 1.0 1.29
Over 1.25 1.52
Over 1.5 1.77
Over 1.75 1.98
Over 2.0 2.46
Over 2.25 2.85
Over 2.5 2.59
Under 0.75 3.66
Under 1.0 3.17
Under 1.25 2.34
Under 1.5 2.00
Under 1.75 1.72
Under 2.0 1.47
Under 2.25 1.36
Under 2.5 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.62
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 1.80
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.00
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.73
Over 2.5 3.25
Over 3.5 7.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 4.75
Under 1.5 2.00
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.08
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.58
Home 2.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.69
Draw 1.67
Home 3.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.99
Draw 1.93
Home 2.93
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 0.75 1.16
Over 1.0 1.23
Over 1.25 1.50
Over 1.5 1.74
Over 1.75 1.98
Over 2.0 2.43
Over 2.25 2.83
Over 2.5 3.20
Over 2.75 4.10
Over 3.0 6.05
Over 3.5 6.90
Over 4.5 19.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 4.65
Under 0.75 4.05
Under 1.0 3.42
Under 1.25 2.40
Under 1.5 1.96
Under 1.75 1.72
Under 2.0 1.44
Under 2.25 1.33
Under 2.5 1.26
Under 2.75 1.16
Under 3.0 1.06
Under 3.5 1.04
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.80
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 1.93
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.15
Home 2.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.63
Over 3.5 4.90
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.11

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama Home
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)