IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Eamonn Deacy Park
Galway United
Match Timeline
Sligo Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Seb Quirk
Sligo Rovers
34'
F. Pierrot · Assist: J. Keohane
Galway United
🔄
46'
A. Meekison ↔ J. McGonigle
Sligo Rovers
🔄
46'
L. Pearce ↔ C. Kavanagh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
50'
Edward McCarthy
Galway United
🟨
53'
Seb Quirk
Sligo Rovers
🟥
53'
Seb Quirk
Sligo Rovers
🔄
61'
R. O'Kane ↔ C. Harkin
Sligo Rovers
🔄
61'
S. Stewart ↔ O. Denham
Sligo Rovers
🟨
67'
Carl McHugh
Sligo Rovers
🔄
67'
G. Facchineri ↔ L. Kavanagh
Galway United
🔄
68'
E. McCarthy ↔ L. Devitt
Galway United
🔄
68'
F. Pierrot ↔ M. Wolfe
Galway United
72'
M. Wolfe · Assist: A. Bolger
Galway United
🔄
77'
A. Bolger ↔ A. Piesold
Galway United
🔄
78'
C. Barratt ↔ C. McCormack
Galway United
81'
C. Kavanagh · Assist: J. McGonigle
Sligo Rovers
86'
C. Kavanagh · Assist: J. McGonigle
Sligo Rovers
🟨
90'
Ciaron Harkin
Sligo Rovers
90'
M. Wolfe · Assist: D. Hurley
Galway United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.3%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Galway United Win 47.4%
Draw 25.7%
Sligo Rovers Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galway United1.33
Sligo Rovers1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galway United Galway United
WWDLW
32 GF / 46 GA
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WLDWL
30 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
16
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
14
3.41
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galway United Galway United 25 matches
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 29 matches
Galway United Statistic Sligo Rovers
7 Wins 9
6 Draws 5
12 Losses 15
32 Goals For 30
46 Goals Against 41
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
16 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 12
3.41 Shots On Goal 2.57
11.32 Total Shots 9.3
4.45 Corners 3.61
36.9% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sligo Rovers in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sligo Rovers having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sligo Rovers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Galway United Analysis

Galway United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 24 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 29:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Bolger (2 goals), E. McCarthy (2 goals), Kristopher Twardek (1 goals), with creative support from Kristopher Twardek (3 assists), D. Hurley (2 assists), J. Keohane (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

Sligo Rovers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 20 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats with a 18:37 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on W. Fitzgerald (3 goals), A. Meekison (2 goals), Cian Kavanagh (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (3 assists), A. Meekison (2 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 4 times, Sligo Rovers won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Galway United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.3%)
Predicted formations: Galway United 4-2-3-1 / Sligo Rovers 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Galway United wins 4, draws 5, Sligo Rovers wins 6
Stats
Galway United Galway United
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 0
11 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 5
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 4
16 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
346 Total passes 413
252 Passes accurate 297
2.28 expected_goals 1.67
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Galway United
Formation
Sligo Rovers
H. Cunha
H. Cunha
C. Barratt
C. Barratt
W. Williams
W. Williams
K. Brouder
K. Brouder
G. Facchineri
G. Facchineri
J. Keohane
🎯
J. Keohane
D. Hurley
🎯
D. Hurley
A. Bolger
🎯
A. Bolger
E. McCarthy
E. McCarthy
S. Walsh
S. Walsh
F. Pierrot
F. Pierrot
S. Sargeant
S. Sargeant
J. Esua
J. Esua
G. McElroy
G. McElroy
S. McHale
S. McHale
S. Stewart
S. Stewart
C. McHugh
C. McHugh
S. Quirk
S. Quirk
R. O'Kane
R. O'Kane
A. Meekison
A. Meekison
W. Fitzgerald
W. Fitzgerald
L. Pearce
L. Pearce
Galway United 4-4-2
Starting XI
16
H. Cunha
G
3
C. Barratt
↓ 78'
D
15
W. Williams
D
5
K. Brouder
D
12
G. Facchineri
↓ 67'
D
4
J. Keohane
🎯 34'
M
10
D. Hurley
🎯 90'
M
8
A. Bolger
🎯 72' ↓ 77'
M
24
E. McCarthy
↓ 68' 🟨 50'
M
7
S. Walsh
F
23
F. Pierrot
⚽ 34' ↓ 68'
Substitutes
32
C. Gleeson
G
22
C. McCormack
↑ 78'
M
19
L. Kavanagh
↑ 67'
D
9
F. Lomboto
F
20
L. Devitt
↑ 68'
M
21
D. Connolly
F
14
M. Wolfe
⚽ 72' ⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
M
30
A. Kazeem
D
6
A. Piesold
↑ 77'
M
Sligo Rovers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
S. Sargeant
G
33
J. Esua
D
52
G. McElroy
D
17
S. McHale
D
3
S. Stewart
↓ 61'
D
16
C. McHugh
🟨 67'
M
4
S. Quirk
🟨 28' 🟨 53' 🟥 53'
M
28
R. O'Kane
↓ 61'
M
10
A. Meekison
↓ 46'
M
7
W. Fitzgerald
M
9
L. Pearce
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Hughes
G
18
J. McGonigle
🎯 81' 🎯 86' ↑ 46'
F
6
C. Harkin
↑ 61' 🟨 90'
M
11
C. Kavanagh
⚽ 81' ⚽ 86' ↑ 46'
F
15
O. Denham
↑ 61'
D
19
A. Nolan
M
14
J. McManus
M
23
K. McDonagh
24
J. O'Donnell
F
Last matches: Galway United
21.08.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
1
W
07.08.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
0
0
D
03.07.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
21.08.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
0
D
07.08.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
2
L
31.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
27.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
19.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
1
3
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
4
L
08.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
H2H: Galway United vs Sligo Rovers
11.07.26
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
16.05.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
4
W
27.02.26
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
24.01.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
6
0
L
22.09.25
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
23.06.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
2
W
25.01.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
2
D
25.10.24
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
27.07.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
0
L
10.05.24
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
22.04.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
0
0
D
27.01.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
0
L
28.01.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
2
D
Last matches: Galway United
07.08.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
0
0
D
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
06.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
0
1
L
09.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Treaty United
2
0
W
H2H at home: Galway United
11.07.26
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
27.02.26
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
22.09.25
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
25.10.24
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
10.05.24
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
07.08.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
2
L
31.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
0
1
L
H2H away: Sligo Rovers
11.07.26
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
L
27.02.26
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
L
22.09.25
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
1
W
16.05.25
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
1
W
25.10.24
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
10.05.24
H2H
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 6 5 43:24 19 54
W D W W D
2 28 14 8 6 45:23 22 50
W W D D D
3 28 13 8 7 47:34 13 47
W L D W W
4 28 9 10 9 43:43 0 37
L L D D L
5 26 8 10 8 36:38 -2 34
L L W D L
6 28 7 12 9 38:37 1 33
L W D L W
7 27 8 9 10 35:41 -6 33
W D D D W
8 28 6 11 11 37:48 -11 29
D W W D D
9 28 6 10 12 31:45 -14 28
L D D D W
10 28 5 8 15 23:45 -22 23
D L D D L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation