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IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
25.09.2026 18:45
Eamonn Deacy Park
Referee: R. Hennessy
Galway United
Match Timeline
Shelbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
Wasiri Williams ↔ Al Amin Kazeem
Galway United
🔄
45+1'
Sean Moore ↔ Sean Boyd
Shelbourne
⚽
45+5'
Jimmy Keohane
Galway United
🔄
53'
Al Amin Kazeem ↔ francely lomboto
Galway United
⚽
58'
Ademipo Odubeko · Assist: Milan Bernhard Mbeng
Shelbourne
🟨
60'
Sam Bone
Shelbourne
🔄
65'
Sam Bone ↔ Alistair Coote
Shelbourne
🔄
77'
Sean Boyd ↔ John Martin
Shelbourne
🔄
82'
Stephen Walsh ↔ Frantz Pierrot
Galway United
🟨
83'
Aaron Bolger
Galway United
🟨
90+2'
James Norris
Shelbourne
🟨
90+2'
Anthony O'Connor
Galway United

Galway United vs Shelbourne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
70.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Galway United Win 45.1%
Draw 29.1%
Shelbourne Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galway United1.35
Shelbourne1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galway United Galway United
WWDLW
44 GF / 56 GA
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WLDWL
62 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
22
BTTS Yes
30
18
Over 2.5
27
3.77
Shots on Goal
3.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galway United Galway United 34 matches
Shelbourne Shelbourne 40 matches
Galway United Statistic Shelbourne
10 Wins 13
10 Draws 15
14 Losses 12
44 Goals For 62
56 Goals Against 58
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
22 BTTS Yes 30
26 Over 1.5 32
18 Over 2.5 27
13 Over 3.5 14
4 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 7
3.77 Shots On Goal 3.66
12.23 Total Shots 12.31
4.26 Corners 4.6
38.8% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Shelbourne in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shelbourne having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shelbourne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Shelbourne arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Galway United Analysis

Galway United are currently 6 in the standings with 37 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 41:46 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Twardek (3 goals), J. Keohane (3 goals), S. Walsh (3 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (4 assists), D. Hurley (2 assists), J. Keohane (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne sit 7 with 36 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 38:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Kelly (4 goals), Harry Wood (3 goals), John Martin (2 goals), with creative support from Harry Wood (5 assists), John Martin (1 assists), A. Coote (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 3 times, Shelbourne won 3 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Galway United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.2%)
Predicted formations: Galway United 5-4-1 / Shelbourne 3-4-3
H2H summary: Galway United wins 3, draws 9, Shelbourne wins 3

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 19 8 6 54:33 21 65
W W W L D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 33 17 8 8 58:40 18 59
L W W W W
4 33 10 13 10 47:46 1 43
W D W L L
5 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
6 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 33 5 8 20 25:59 -34 23
L L L L L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation