IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
08.05.2026 18:45
Eamonn Deacy Park
Galway United
Match Timeline
Shamrock Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
M. Noonan · Assist: J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
16'
Connor Barratt
Galway United
⚽
26'
A. Brennan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
K. Twardek ↔ F. Pierrot
Galway United
🔄
46'
A. Kazeem ↔ M. Wolfe
Galway United
⚽
48'
M. Wolfe · Assist: D. Hurley
Galway United
🟨
56'
Tunmise Sobowale
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
72'
S. Walsh ↔ A. Piesold
Galway United
⚽
73'
T. Sobowale · Assist: V. Ozhianvuna
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
76'
M. Noonan ↔ G. Burke
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
76'
J. McGovern ↔ A. Greene
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
76'
J. Byrne ↔ D. Watts
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
79'
C. Barratt ↔ L. Devitt
Galway United
🔄
79'
D. Hurley ↔ N. Fleuriau Chateau
Galway United
🔄
79'
A. Brennan ↔ M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
81'
Enda Stevens
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
82'
V. Ozhianvuna ↔ C. Malley
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
87'
Jimmy Keohane
Galway United

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Galway United Win 50.7%
Draw 0%
Shamrock Rovers Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galway United1.03
Shamrock Rovers1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galway United Galway United
WWDLW
21 GF / 29 GA
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WLDWL
33 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
10
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
3.79
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galway United Galway United 17 matches
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 17 matches
Galway United Statistic Shamrock Rovers
5 Wins 11
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 2
21 Goals For 33
29 Goals Against 12
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
10 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 2
3.79 Shots On Goal 4.67
11.57 Total Shots 13.07
4.43 Corners 5.33
39.9% Ball Possession 60.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shamrock Rovers's more proactive style and Galway United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Shamrock Rovers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Galway United sit 7 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shamrock Rovers. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shamrock Rovers in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shamrock Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shamrock Rovers look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Galway United Analysis

So far, Galway United have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 17 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:20 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Twardek (5 goals), Aaron Bolger (2 goals), D. Hurley (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (3 assists), D. Hurley (3 assists), Stephen Walsh (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 15 matches. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 24:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Burke (5 goals), John McGovern (3 goals), R. Lopes (3 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (4 assists), John McGovern (2 assists), Cory O'Sullivan (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 0 times, Shamrock Rovers won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:19 from Galway United's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Galway United 4-2-3-1 / Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Galway United wins 0, draws 5, Shamrock Rovers wins 9

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 32 9 13 10 42:45 -3 40
D W L L D
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation