Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Galway United
Dundalk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Galway United
21 matches
Dundalk
21 matches
| Galway United | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 5 |
| 29 | Goals For | 37 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.78 | Shots On Goal | 5.95 |
| 12.06 | Total Shots | 15.84 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 6.11 |
| 38.8% | Ball Possession | 49.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Dundalk's more proactive style and Galway United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dundalk in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk.
Galway United sit 7 with 21 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 26:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Twardek (6 goals), F. Pierrot (3 goals), Aaron Bolger (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (5 assists), D. Hurley (4 assists), J. Keohane (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 29 points from 19 outings, Dundalk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 31:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Horgan (6 goals), G. Arubi (6 goals), Declan McDaid (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (6 assists), G. Arubi (3 assists), E. Kenny (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 4 times, Dundalk won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:6 from Galway United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Galway United
2
5
6
11
6
9
Lineups
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Shelbourne
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Treaty United
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
UCD
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Away
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Galway United
Home
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|