Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Galway United
Derry City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Galway United
22 matches
Derry City
23 matches
| Galway United | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 29 | Goals For | 27 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.52 |
| 12.16 | Total Shots | 12.9 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 6.05 |
| 39% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Derry City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Derry City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Derry City having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Galway United sit 7 with 21 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Twardek (6 goals), F. Pierrot (3 goals), Aaron Bolger (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (5 assists), D. Hurley (4 assists), J. Keohane (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 20 matches, Derry City have collected 22 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Duffy (5 goals), James Clarke (4 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 4 times, Derry City won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Galway United's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.
Lineups
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Shelbourne
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Treaty United
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Polessya
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 |
Galway United
Home
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|