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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
10.10.2026 13:00
Gamla Ullevi
Referee: Victor Wolf

Gais vs Sirius Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56%
Odds 2.78
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56%
2.78 ▥
BTTS No
56%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.09 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.5%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Gais Win 32%
Draw 12.1%
Sirius Win 56%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gais1.34
Sirius1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gais Gais
WWDLW
45 GF / 32 GA
Sirius Sirius
WLDWL
63 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
2.17
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
12
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
20
4.79
Shots on Goal
5.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gais Gais 33 matches
Sirius Sirius 29 matches
Gais Statistic Sirius
16 Wins 19
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 5
45 Goals For 63
32 Goals Against 38
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
12 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 20
6 Over 3.5 12
15 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 3
4.79 Shots On Goal 5.73
14.42 Total Shots 14.59
4.96 Corners 5.55
49.6% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sirius. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sirius carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 51 points while Gais sit 10 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gais expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sirius in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sirius having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gais Analysis

Gais sit 10 with 30 points after 22 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 28:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Salter (6 goals), R. Þorkelsson (4 goals), R. Niklasson (3 goals), with creative support from W. Milovanovic (4 assists), R. Niklasson (3 assists), S. Salter (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 51 points after 22 outings. They have recorded 16 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 52:28 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Robbie Ure (15 goals), I. Bjerkebo (13 goals), Mohamed Soumah (4 goals), with creative support from I. Bjerkebo (6 assists), M. Lindberg (4 assists), V. Svensson (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Gais won 2 times, Sirius won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Gais's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Gais 4-3-3 / Sirius 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Gais 4, Sirius 2
H2H summary: Gais wins 2, draws 2, Sirius wins 3

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10
Gais Home
22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation