SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
12.07.2026 14:30
Gamla Ullevi
Referee: Adam Ladeback, Sweden
Gais
Match Timeline
IF Elfsborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Oskar Ågren
Gais
🔄
46'
M. Andersson ↔ H. Sletsjoe
Gais
51'
R. Thorkelsson · Assist: R. Niklasson
Gais
🔄
59'
S. Olsson ↔ M. Rohden
IF Elfsborg
🔄
59'
F. Ihler ↔ L. Ostman
IF Elfsborg
🔄
68'
A. Wangberg ↔ R. Frej
Gais
🔄
70'
A. Sigurpalsson ↔ A. Zeneli
IF Elfsborg
🔄
70'
M. Kamara ↔ T. Silverholt
IF Elfsborg
🔄
73'
W. Milovanovic ↔ R. Wendin Thomasson
Gais
🔄
74'
J. Fagerjord ↔ O. Pettersson
Gais
🟨
81'
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Gais
🔄
86'
S. Salter ↔ J. Lindberg
Gais
🔄
87'
V. Okeke ↔ A. Hellemaa
IF Elfsborg
🟨
90+1'
Jonas Lindberg
Gais

Gais vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gais Win 58.4%
Draw 4.5%
IF Elfsborg Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gais1.44
IF Elfsborg1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gais Gais
WWDLW
33 GF / 18 GA
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
11
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
10
5
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gais Gais 21 matches
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 21 matches
Gais Statistic IF Elfsborg
11 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
5 Losses 6
33 Goals For 28
18 Goals Against 26
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
11 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 3.75
14.75 Total Shots 10.42
5.08 Corners 3.5
50.6% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gais expected to line up in 4-3-3 and IF Elfsborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IF Elfsborg having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors IF Elfsborg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gais Analysis

Gais are currently 7 in the standings with 15 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:11 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

Placed 3 with 18 points from 11 outings, IF Elfsborg continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 16:11 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gais won 5 times, IF Elfsborg won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Gais's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Gais 4-3-3 / IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Gais 4, IF Elfsborg 3
H2H summary: Gais wins 5, draws 0, IF Elfsborg wins 3

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10
Gais Home
22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation