Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Gagra
Samgurali
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gagra
23 matches
Samgurali
26 matches
| Gagra | Statistic | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 10 |
| 25 | Goals For | 41 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 2 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0.5 | Corners | 0 |
| 23% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Samgurali. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 17 matches, Gagra have collected 20 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 17:23 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Andreychuk (4 goals), D. Mujiri (3 goals), I. Skrypnyk (3 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (5 assists), S. Zoidze (3 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Samgurali sit 6 with 24 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:27 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Claudio Cebolinha (6 goals), Wellissol (6 goals), I. Janjgava (2 goals), with creative support from Claudio Cebolinha (2 assists), Vinicius Vianna (2 assists), L. Gegetchkori (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gagra won 2 times, Samgurali won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Gagra's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Bunyodkor
Gagra
Muras United
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Ulytau
Samgurali
Petrocub
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Dila
Gagra
Rustavi
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
Meshakhte
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Saburtalo
Gagra
Spaeri
Gagra
Samgurali
Gagra
Gareji
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Dila
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Spaeri
Samgurali
Meshakhte
Samgurali
Gagra
Samgurali
Ulytau
Samgurali
Petrocub
Samgurali
Lokomotiv
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Samgurali
Away
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 24 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Gagra
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 12:32 | -20 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
L
|