Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gagra Win 0%
Draw 0%
Saburtalo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gagra1.06
Saburtalo1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gagra
WWDLW
25 GF / 33 GA
Saburtalo
WLDWL
35 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
14
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
1.33
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gagra
24 matches
Saburtalo
24 matches
| Gagra | Statistic | Saburtalo |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 25 | Goals For | 35 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 1.33 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 1.33 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0.33 | Corners | 0 |
| 15.3% | Ball Possession | 23.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gagra won 2 times, Saburtalo won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:31 from Gagra's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gagra - / Saburtalo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gagra wins 2, draws 1, Saburtalo wins 12
Last matches: Gagra
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
Last matches: Saburtalo
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
H2H: Gagra vs Saburtalo
20.05.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
L
03.04.26
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
06.12.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
L
03.10.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
3
L
29.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
26.09.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
1
D
28.05.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
4
0
W
11.04.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
2
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
5
0
L
20.05.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
01.04.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
3
0
L
08.10.22
H2H
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
L
Last matches: Gagra
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Gareji
1
0
W
H2H at home: Gagra
03.04.26
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
03.10.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
3
L
19.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
28.05.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
4
0
W
11.11.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
2
1
W
20.05.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
Last matches: Saburtalo
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Petrocub
2
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
02.02.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Veres Rivne
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Saburtalo
Ružomberok
1
1
D
23.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H away: Saburtalo
03.04.26
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
W
03.10.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
3
W
19.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
W
01.12.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
W
28.05.24
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
4
0
L
11.11.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
2
1
L
20.05.23
H2H
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
W
Standings
Umaglesi Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saburtalo
Away
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 32 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21:19 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Gagra
Home
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 10 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2