Gagra vs Meshakhte Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Gagra
Meshakhte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gagra
32 matches
Meshakhte
29 matches
| Gagra | Statistic | Meshakhte |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 3 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 16 |
| 36 | Goals For | 24 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 1.5 | Shots On Goal | 1.43 |
| 2.83 | Total Shots | 3.14 |
| 1.5 | Corners | 1.71 |
| 16.7% | Ball Possession | 26.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Meshakhte. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gagra expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Meshakhte in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Meshakhte having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 25 matches, Gagra have collected 28 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 24:32 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Meshakhte sit 10 with 16 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 19:42 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gagra won 9 times, Meshakhte won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from Gagra's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 43:34 | 9 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 43 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 36:27 | 9 | 39 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 34:46 | -12 | 32 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Gagra
Home
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Meshakhte
Away
|
25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 16 |
D
D
W
L
L
|