ICELAND 1. DEILD
13.09.2026 19:15

Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
1.78
BTTS Yes
88%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
1.30
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
6.86
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Fylkir Win 67.4%
Draw 8.8%
HK Kopavogur Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fylkir2.1
HK Kopavogur2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fylkir Fylkir
WWDLW
52 GF / 38 GA
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur
WLDWL
54 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
2.26
Average Goals Scored
2.35
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
14
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fylkir Fylkir 23 matches
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 23 matches
Fylkir Statistic HK Kopavogur
14 Wins 12
1 Draws 2
8 Losses 9
52 Goals For 54
38 Goals Against 43
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 2.35
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
14 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Fylkir hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-2, so HK Kopavogur now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HK Kopavogur having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring HK Kopavogur.

Fylkir Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Fylkir arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 40 points after 22 matches. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses plus a goal ratio of 49:36, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

HK Kopavogur Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, HK Kopavogur arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 38 points after 22 matches. The return of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 52:40 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Fylkir won 2 times, HK Kopavogur won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Fylkir's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
H2H summary: Fylkir wins 2, draws 0, HK Kopavogur wins 3

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 3 5 65:33 32 45
L W W W D
2 22 13 4 5 50:25 25 43
W W W L W
3 22 13 1 8 49:36 13 40
W L W W L
4 22 12 2 8 52:40 12 38
L W L W D
5 22 12 2 8 38:29 9 38
L W L W L
6 22 8 4 10 34:33 1 28
L W L W L
7 22 8 4 10 40:46 -6 28
W L W W L
8 22 8 3 11 36:43 -7 27
L L L L D
9 22 8 3 11 30:43 -13 27
L L W L W
10 22 7 5 10 32:44 -12 26
W W L W W
11 22 5 10 7 25:35 -10 25
D W L D W
12 22 2 3 17 25:69 -44 9
D L L L L
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