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17.10.2026 14:00
Craven Cottage
Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
Fulham
Match Timeline
Hull City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Lucas Herrington
Hull City
🟨
27'
Josh King
Fulham
🟨
27'
Regan Slater
Hull City
⚽
33'
A. Iwobi · Assist: S. Berge
Fulham
🔄
46'
L. Herrington ↔ T. Iroegbunam
Hull City
🔄
68'
B. Norton-Cuffy ↔ R. Giles
Hull City
🔄
68'
M. Crooks ↔ R. Vaz
Hull City
🔄
68'
S. Thomas ↔ J. Gelhardt
Hull City
🔄
75'
R. Slater ↔ H. Morita
Hull City
🔄
78'
O. Bobb ↔ T. Cairney
Fulham
🔄
78'
J. King ↔ R. Sessegnon
Fulham
🟨
84'
Sander Berge
Fulham
🔄
85'
G. Garcia ↔ C. Palacios
Fulham
🟥
90+4'
Ryan Sessegnon
Fulham

Fulham vs Hull City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fulham Win 28.3%
Draw 19.3%
Hull City Win 52.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fulham1.01
Hull City1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fulham Fulham
L D D L L
4 GF / 7 GA
Hull City Hull City
D L D D W
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
8
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
4.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fulham Fulham 12 matches
Hull City Hull City 11 matches
Fulham Statistic Hull City
2 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
6 Losses 2
13 Goals For 14
18 Goals Against 10
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
8 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 4
14.17 Total Shots 11.67
5.5 Corners 4
53.8% Ball Possession 32.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hull City's more proactive style and Fulham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Hull City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 8 points while Fulham sit 19 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fulham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Hull City in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hull City having the stronger overall control. Fulham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hull City. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Fulham Analysis

With 2 points from 5 games and a place of 19, Fulham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Joshua King (2 goals), Gonzalo García (1 goals), César Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from T. Castagne (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hull City Analysis

Hull City are currently 8 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Belloumi (2 goals), S. Ajayi (1 goals), N. Mendy (1 goals), with creative support from M. Belloumi (2 assists), R. Giles (1 assists), O. McBurnie (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Fulham won 6 times, Hull City won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Fulham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Fulham 4-2-3-1 / Hull City 5-4-1
Missing players: Fulham 2, Hull City 9
H2H summary: Fulham wins 6, draws 2, Hull City wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 20:9 11 21
L W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 13:5 8 21
W W W L W
3 8 5 1 2 23:7 16 16
L W W W W
4 8 4 3 1 11:8 3 15
W W L W D
5 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L W W L D
6 8 2 5 1 14:9 5 11
D L D W D
7 8 2 5 1 9:6 3 11
D D L D W
8 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W L L W L
9 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D W L
10 8 2 4 2 9:8 1 10
D L D L D
11 8 2 4 2 8:9 -1 10
L L D W D
12 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
D L W L W
13 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W W L L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:10 -2 9
W W D L D
15 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W W L D D
16 8 1 4 3 10:13 -3 7
L D D D L
17 8 2 1 5 9:19 -10 7
L L W D L
18 8 1 3 4 6:10 -4 6
D L L L W
19 8 2 0 6 6:15 -9 6
L L W W L
20 8 1 2 5 6:14 -8 5
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship