Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
9.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FSV Mainz 05
44 matches
Union Berlin
32 matches
| FSV Mainz 05 | Statistic | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 8 |
| 12 | Draws | 9 |
| 16 | Losses | 15 |
| 57 | Goals For | 37 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.02 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 12.36 | Total Shots | 12.22 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 39.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union Berlin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Union Berlin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
FSV Mainz 05 are currently 10 in the standings with 37 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 41:50 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Amiri (11 goals), Paul Nebel (5 goals), Jae-sung Lee (4 goals), with creative support from Danny da Costa (3 assists), Sheraldo Becker (3 assists), B. Hollerbach (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Union Berlin sit 13 with 33 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 37:57 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Doekhi (5 goals), I. Ansah (5 goals), O. Burke (5 goals), with creative support from A. Ilic (8 assists), Christopher Trimmel (3 assists), I. Ansah (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1 times, Union Berlin won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from FSV Mainz 05's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
FSV Mainz 05
3
9
7
6
4
1
Lineups
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
FSV Mainz 05
Fiorentina
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
Zrinjski
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
FSV Mainz 05
Home
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 |
Union Berlin
Away
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|