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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
29.08.2026 13:30
Mewa Arena
Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
FSV Mainz 05
Match Timeline
SC Paderborn 07
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Santiago Castañeda
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
67'
S. Marino ↔ S. Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
68'
S. Becker ↔ O. Ruoppi
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
68'
Lee Jae-Sung ↔ R. Konigsdorffer
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
72'
Mattes Hansen
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
73'
A. Caci ↔ S. Widmer
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
75'
M. Hansen ↔ J. Sticker
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
75'
L. Ulrich ↔ T. Baack
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
80'
D. Kohr ↔ K. Potulski
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
90+1'
Phillipp Mwene
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
90+2'
M. Pieringer ↔ C. Lippmann
SC Paderborn 07

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FSV Mainz 05 Win 64.3%
Draw 3.8%
SC Paderborn 07 Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FSV Mainz 053.35
SC Paderborn 071.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WWDLW
38 GF / 5 GA
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
4.75
Average Goals Scored
2.5
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 8 matches
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 4 matches
FSV Mainz 05 Statistic SC Paderborn 07
7 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
38 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 5
4.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 times, SC Paderborn 07 won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:3 from FSV Mainz 05's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: FSV Mainz 05 3-1-4-2 / SC Paderborn 07 3-4-3
Missing players: FSV Mainz 05 4, SC Paderborn 07 4
H2H summary: FSV Mainz 05 wins 3, draws 1, SC Paderborn 07 wins 0

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:4 10 13
W D W W W
2 5 4 1 0 11:4 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 3 2 0 16:4 12 11
D W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 14:8 6 10
W W D W L
5 5 3 0 2 15:5 10 9
W L W L W
6 5 2 2 1 13:8 5 8
D L D W W
7 5 2 2 1 10:10 0 8
D W D W L
8 5 2 1 2 13:10 3 7
L W L W D
9 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
L D L W W
10 5 2 1 2 8:10 -2 7
W L D L W
11 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L W L
12 5 2 0 3 5:15 -10 6
W W L L L
13 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D W D L
14 5 1 2 2 9:16 -7 5
L D W L D
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
L W L L D
16 5 1 1 3 5:17 -12 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 9:13 -4 3
L L W L L
18 5 0 0 5 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
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