Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
23 matches
Tukums
21 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 18 | Goals For | 37 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tukums. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Tukums arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 17 matches, FS Jelgava have collected 16 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 13:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Hasek (5 goals), A. Kangars (3 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (3 assists), J. Novikovs (2 assists), L. Prior (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tukums sit 8 with 14 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 30:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Oloko (15 goals), R. Deruzinskis (6 goals), Leoni (4 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (6 assists), R. Deruzinskis (2 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 4 times, Tukums won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Lineups
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|