FS Jelgava
Match Timeline
Super Nova
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 18.1%
Draw 20.2%
Super Nova Win 61.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava1.14
Super Nova1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava
WWDLW
12 GF / 30 GA
Super Nova
WLDWL
17 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.21
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
6
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
15 matches
Super Nova
14 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 10 | Losses | 7 |
| 12 | Goals For | 17 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 6 times, Super Nova won 0 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:9 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 5-4-1 / Super Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 6, draws 6, Super Nova wins 0
Lineups
FS Jelgava
Formation
Super Nova
A. Dvorak
J. Novikovs
A. Kangars
M. Semesko
L. Prior
R. Becers
G. Zaleiko
D. Holoubek
F. Hasek
T. Rataj
R. Melkis
D. Veisbuks
I. Ndiaye
M. Oss
J. Cirulis
M. Tihonovics
Bamba
Facu
N. Barkovskis
E. Emsis
N. Pathe
V. Lizunovs
FS Jelgava
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Dvorak
13
J. Novikovs
🎯 82'
4
A. Kangars
3
M. Semesko
25
L. Prior
🟨 72'
9
R. Becers
↓ 74'
🟨 73'
29
G. Zaleiko
🟨 36'
10
D. Holoubek
24
F. Hasek
⚽ 82'
17
T. Rataj
↓ 46'
8
R. Melkis
↓ 74'
Substitutes
30
S. Belanik
16
T. Leitis
26
A. Butovskis
7
A. Janovskis
↑ 74'
22
M. Pudil
↑ 74'
21
G. Kacanovs
19
A. Petersons
20
G. Patika
↑ 46'
28
A. Deklavs
Super Nova
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
90
D. Veisbuks
20
I. Ndiaye
↓ 44'
25
M. Oss
5
J. Cirulis
↓ 84'
21
M. Tihonovics
9
Bamba
14
Facu
🟨 6'
23
N. Barkovskis
↓ 84'
6
E. Emsis
↓ 41'
27
N. Pathe
↓ 46'
10
V. Lizunovs
Substitutes
31
T. Petrovics
7
A. Glaudans
↑ 41'
18
M. Vasilevskis
24
R. Sitjakovs
↑ 46'
22
K. Skadmanis
17
G. Bombans
4
L. Berzins
↑ 84'
19
A. Grikovs
↑ 44'
32
I. Sylla
↑ 84'
Last matches: FS Jelgava
20.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
Last matches: Super Nova
20.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
06.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
21.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
H2H: FS Jelgava vs Super Nova
25.06.26
H2H
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
W
06.05.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
20.07.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
21.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
09.07.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
2
D
18.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
05.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
0
W
21.01.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
0
W
Last matches: FS Jelgava
20.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
H2H at home: FS Jelgava
06.05.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.07.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
1
W
09.07.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
2
D
05.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
0
W
21.01.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
0
W
Last matches: Super Nova
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2
5
L
H2H away: Super Nova
06.05.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
L
20.07.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
1
L
09.07.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
2
D
05.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
0
L
21.01.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
2
0
L
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Away
|
23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 7 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga