Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
45.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
25 matches
Grobiņa
27 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | Grobiņa |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 27 | Goals For | 27 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Grobiņa. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. Grobiņa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
FS Jelgava sit 7 with 19 points after 19 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 17:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Hasek (5 goals), A. Kangars (3 goals), M. Semesko (2 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (3 assists), D. Holoubek (2 assists), E. Smaukstelis (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Grobiņa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 16 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 12:30 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Puzirevskis (5 goals), R. Baravykas (3 goals), A. Kholod (2 goals), with creative support from R. Baravykas (2 assists), M. Sidorovs (2 assists), O. Rascevskis (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 5 times, Grobiņa won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
Grobiņa
Suduva Marijampole
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 60:19 | 41 | 49 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 48:14 | 34 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 39 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:35 | -13 | 22 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 17 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Grobiņa
Away
|
20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12:30 | -18 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16:48 | -32 | 7 |
L
W
L
L
D
|