Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
86%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
19 matches
FK Liepaja
22 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 15 | Goals For | 34 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FK Liepaja. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
FS Jelgava are currently 8 in the standings with 13 points from 13 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 10:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Hasek (4 goals), A. Kangars (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (2 assists), J. Novikovs (2 assists), L. Prior (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 18 points from 13 outings, FK Liepaja continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 16:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Gueye (3 goals), K. Leidsman (3 goals), D. Patijcuks (2 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (1 assists), A. Korobenko (1 assists), C. Amatkarijo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 3 times, FK Liepaja won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:24 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Lineups
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|