FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
86%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
19 matches
FK Liepaja
22 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 15 | Goals For | 34 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FK Liepaja. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
FS Jelgava are currently 8 in the standings with 13 points from 13 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 10:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Hasek (4 goals), A. Kangars (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (2 assists), J. Novikovs (2 assists), L. Prior (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 18 points from 13 outings, FK Liepaja continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 16:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Gueye (3 goals), K. Leidsman (3 goals), D. Patijcuks (2 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (1 assists), A. Korobenko (1 assists), C. Amatkarijo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 2 times, FK Liepaja won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 68:20 | 48 | 69 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 81:27 | 54 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 44:27 | 17 | 53 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:41 | -2 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 32:47 | -15 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 7 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 29 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20:50 | -30 | 24 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 41:58 | -17 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26:71 | -45 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|