LATVIA › VIRSLIGA

31.05.2026 13:00

FS Jelgava

1 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs

Referee: A. Golubevs

FS Jelgava

Match Timeline

BFC Daugavpils

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Draw or Away

Probability 75%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 37.7%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 58%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Draw or Away	75%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	37.7%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	58%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	0-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

FS Jelgava Win 25%

Draw 25.7%

BFC Daugavpils Win 49.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

FS Jelgava1.14

BFC Daugavpils1.39

Recent Form (Last 5)

FS Jelgava

WWDLW

16 GF / 37 GA

BFC Daugavpils

WLDWL

25 GF / 38 GA

Key Stats

0.8

Average Goals Scored

1.09

1.85

Average Goals Conceded

1.65

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FS Jelgava 20 matches

BFC Daugavpils 23 matches

FS Jelgava	Statistic	BFC Daugavpils
4	Wins	7
5	Draws	2
11	Losses	14
16	Goals For	25
37	Goals Against	38
0.8	Avg Goals Scored	1.09
1.85	Avg Goals Conceded	1.65
8	BTTS Yes	12
13	Over 1.5	14
8	Over 2.5	11
6	Over 3.5	7
3	Clean Sheets	3
10	Failed To Score	8
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 2 times, BFC Daugavpils won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: X2 (75%)

Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 3-4-2-1 / BFC Daugavpils 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 2, draws 6, BFC Daugavpils wins 7

Standings

Virsliga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Rīgas FS	30	23	5	2	71:22	49	74	D W D W D
2	Riga	31	22	7	2	86:30	56	73	W W D D L
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61	D W D W D
4	FK Liepaja	31	12	7	12	41:43	-2	43	D D D W L
5	BFC Daugavpils Away	31	10	9	12	35:35	0	39	D L D L D
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	29:40	-11	35	L L W W D
7	FS Jelgava Home	31	8	8	15	32:49	-17	32	L D L W W
8	Grobiņa	31	5	11	15	21:52	-31	26	D D L W L
9	Tukums	31	5	9	17	44:61	-17	24	D L W L L
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	30:76	-46	18	W L D L L