FS Jelgava
Match Timeline
BFC Daugavpils
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Draw or Away
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
75%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
37.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 25%
Draw 25.7%
BFC Daugavpils Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava1.14
BFC Daugavpils1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava
WWDLW
16 GF / 37 GA
BFC Daugavpils
WLDWL
25 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
20 matches
BFC Daugavpils
23 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 11 | Losses | 14 |
| 16 | Goals For | 25 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 2 times, BFC Daugavpils won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75%)
Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 5-4-1 / BFC Daugavpils -
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 2, draws 6, BFC Daugavpils wins 6
Lineups
FS Jelgava
Formation
BFC Daugavpils
A. Dvorak
A. Janovskis
J. Novikovs
A. Kangars
M. Semesko
L. Prior
R. Becers
G. Zaleiko
R. Melkis
F. Hasek
T. Rataj
J. Beks
G. Mihalcovs
Papa
C. Taty
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
W. Mukwelle
A. Traore
J. Yakubu
A. Garzha
M. Sylla
R. Ndjiki
FS Jelgava
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Dvorak
7
A. Janovskis
↓ 64'
13
J. Novikovs
4
A. Kangars
3
M. Semesko
🟨 61'
25
L. Prior
9
R. Becers
↓ 64'
29
G. Zaleiko
8
R. Melkis
🎯 63'
24
F. Hasek
⚽ 63'
17
T. Rataj
Substitutes
30
S. Belanik
16
T. Leitis
22
M. Pudil
↑ 64'
21
G. Kacanovs
5
I. Smirnovs
19
A. Petersons
20
G. Patika
↑ 64'
28
A. Deklavs
18
E. Smaukstelis
BFC Daugavpils
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. Beks
37
G. Mihalcovs
5
Papa
20
C. Taty
34
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
4
W. Mukwelle
9
A. Traore
11
J. Yakubu
22
A. Garzha
7
M. Sylla
↓ 64'
15
R. Ndjiki
⚽ 74'
Substitutes
99
D. Aronisko
77
R. Aizups
27
M. Kopilovs
66
K. Bujanovs
10
E. Ivanovs
19
E. Pinaskins
↑ 64'
3
R. Baikovs
Last matches: FS Jelgava
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
04.07.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
25.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
0
W
16.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
L
21.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
13.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
1
D
27.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
21.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
16.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
12.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
3
2
W
07.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
21.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
14.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
2
4
L
H2H: FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
31.05.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
16.04.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
27.07.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
10.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
03.05.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
16.09.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
26.05.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
5
2
L
17.03.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
W
Last matches: FS Jelgava
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
H2H at home: FS Jelgava
31.05.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
18.10.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
10.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
09.03.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
16.09.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
17.03.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
W
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
30.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
12.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
17.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
02.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
3
2
W
21.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
14.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
2
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
3
5
L
07.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
28.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
FK Trakai
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Panevėžys
0
1
L
10.07.25
UEF
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
0
W
H2H away: BFC Daugavpils
31.05.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
18.10.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
10.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
09.03.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
16.09.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
17.03.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
L
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
BFC Daugavpils
Away
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga