Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55%
|
2.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.76 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.7%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fredrikstad
29 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
30 matches
| Fredrikstad | Statistic | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 41 | Goals For | 44 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.95 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 12.84 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 47.1% | Ball Possession | 44.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sarpsborg 08 FF. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Fredrikstad come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control.
So far, Fredrikstad have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 23:30 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (3 goals), B. Thoresen (3 goals), D. Eid (2 goals), with creative support from H. Skogvold (2 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), D. Eid (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 18 matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF have collected 23 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 20:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Karlsbakk (5 goals), Andreas Hansen (3 goals), Sondre Sörli (2 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (4 assists), Sondre Sörli (3 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 3 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49:15 | 34 | 47 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43:19 | 24 | 44 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
Home
|
19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Away
|
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 24 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:36 | -10 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 19 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30:43 | -13 | 18 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20:41 | -21 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
W
|