NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Fredrikstad Stadion
Referee: R. Saggi
Fredrikstad
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
S. Rafn · Assist: R. R. Shein
Fredrikstad
44'
M. Gjone
Fredrikstad
🔄
46'
H. Udahl ↔ M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
🔄
58'
L. Mettler ↔ A. Trondsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
58'
V. Jonsson ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🟨
64'
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrikstad
🟨
69'
Martin Borsheim
Fredrikstad
🔄
71'
S. Sorlokk ↔ S. Leach
Fredrikstad
🔄
71'
H. Skogvold ↔ B. Faraas
Fredrikstad
🔄
77'
O. Ohlenschlaeger ↔ E. Granaas
Fredrikstad
🔄
80'
P. Metcalfe ↔ W. Osnes-Ringen
Ham-Kam
🔄
85'
I. Hoffmann ↔ I. Kukleci
Ham-Kam
🟨
87'
Eirik Granaas
Fredrikstad
🔄
90+4'
R. R. Shein ↔ M. Nilsson
Fredrikstad
90'
A. Trondsen
Ham-Kam

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 52.6%
Draw 0%
Ham-Kam Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.61
Ham-Kam1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
26 GF / 25 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
25 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
11
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
3.63
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 15 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 14 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Ham-Kam
7 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
26 Goals For 25
25 Goals Against 20
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
11 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 1
3.63 Shots On Goal 3.71
10.88 Total Shots 10.29
4.38 Corners 4
46.4% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ham-Kam. Fredrikstad have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Ham-Kam carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 13 points while Fredrikstad sit 14 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad sit 14 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 10:17 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. R. Shein (2 goals), S. Hestnes (2 goals), D. Eid (1 goals), with creative support from D. Eid (1 assists), J. Nunez (1 assists), O. Ohlenschlaeger (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ham-Kam Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Ham-Kam have collected 13 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Udahl (5 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), E. Amundsen-Day (1 goals), with creative support from V. Jonsson (2 assists), L. Mettler (1 assists), Aksel Baran Potur (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 5 times, Ham-Kam won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 3-5-2 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Fredrikstad 3, Ham-Kam 2
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 5, draws 3, Ham-Kam wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen